MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x507e2788d9c6e4befa8ffea7a59d32c2c644b5362c23fed898b8c6b2aa983f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Baltimore Orioles, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $453,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 100,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,999.95 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 72c | 56,534$40,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,970.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed New York Yankees | 72c | 56,399$40,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,791.83 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 38,743$11,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,287.25 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed New York Yankees | 70c | 31,705$22,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,628.7 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees | 72c | 28,329$20,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,932.12 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 23,193$6,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,475.69 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 15,085$10,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.71 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 15,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 15,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed New York Yankees | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.89 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 69c | 10,716$7,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.9 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 9,581$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed New York Yankees | 67c | 8,279$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.61 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 7,854$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.9 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 72c | 7,462$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.09 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 6,666$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…6141backed New York Yankees | 68c | 5,500$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Yankees | 74c | 5,314$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.34 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 3,670$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 3,407$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.18 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 3,339$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.45 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 3,231$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.67 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Yankees | 2c | 2,802$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.64 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Yankees | 75c | 2,764$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.76 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Yankees | 57c | 2,738$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.9 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees | 71c | 2,603$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.33 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 2,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 2,341$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.34 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees | 70c | 2,307$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 2,301$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Yankees | 72c | 2,222$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Yankees | 76c | 2,100$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 2,069$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.5 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,060$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.99 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 2,003$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.89 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 68c | 1,982$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.37 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed New York Yankees | 75c | 1,751$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.67 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed New York Yankees | 72c | 1,737$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.24 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,733$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.52 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 1,722$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.75 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees | 75c | 1,712$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.16 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 1,678$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.27 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed New York Yankees | 67c | 1,665$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 1,200$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,196$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.88 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 1,157$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,123$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.99 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 1,084$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.88 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Yankees | 75c | 1,017$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.91 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed New York Yankees | 79c | 964.99$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.55 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 888.87$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.39 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 838.88$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.94 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed New York Yankees | 12c | 833$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.04 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 778.35$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.66 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 740$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked New York Yankees | 67c | 735$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.81 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Yankees | 71c | 730.01$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 708.84$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 74c | 701.57$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.56 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 72c | 621$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.53 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 620.22$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.67 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 80c | 609.91$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 605.16$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed New York Yankees | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…0d50backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 599.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 586.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Yankees | 80c | 574.8$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 574.51$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.27 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 523.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.89 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed New York Yankees | 74c | 512.71$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed New York Yankees | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…9a48backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 475.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed New York Yankees | 68c | 452.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 448.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed New York Yankees | 71c | 439$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked New York Yankees | 69c | 436.23$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed New York Yankees | 68c | 426$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 376.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 364.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked New York Yankees | 72c | 363$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed New York Yankees | 72c | 360$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 75c | 358.33$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees | 79c | 354.5$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed New York Yankees | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 335.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 74c | 329.69$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…0cfdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 325.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 325.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed New York Yankees | 64c | 319.67$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed New York Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 307.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.