MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14838ef7019f800d21df175b99deb1658b76b8de67add3467f77a315edd00c89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed New York Yankees | 56c | 34,073$19,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,054.03 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 20,237$11,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.29 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 19,412$7,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,958.96 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 12,495$5,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,497.3 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 7,768$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.01 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 7,420$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.23 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 3,957$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.87 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 57c | 2,191$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.59 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed New York Yankees | 51c | 2,021$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.49 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,966$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.49 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,536$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.46 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,245$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.45 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.62 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,028$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 911.68$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.72 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 801.33$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.77 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 800.83$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.26 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed New York Yankees | 50c | 793.53$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.96 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 791.94$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.88 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 670.98$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.36 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 519.55$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…0505backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 472.21$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 444$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed New York Yankees | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…7b50backed New York Yankees | 59c | 413.56$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 399.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed New York Yankees | 52c | 375$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 339.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed New York Yankees | 58c | 327.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…67febacked New York Yankees | 59c | 254$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 251$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 246.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 232.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 228.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 211$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 200.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed New York Yankees | 51c | 197.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 189.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 186.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 63c | 171.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed New York Yankees | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 58c | 161$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 157.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Yankees | 41c | 152.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 139.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed New York Yankees | 51c | 139.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed New York Yankees | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 33c | 125.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked New York Yankees | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed New York Yankees | 58c | 122.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 119.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Yankees | 14c | 111.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 107.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked New York Yankees | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 102.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed New York Yankees | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed New York Yankees | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Yankees | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed New York Yankees | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 99.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…82adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees | 54c | 89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed New York Yankees | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…68fbbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 82.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 80.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked New York Yankees | 36c | 68.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed New York Yankees | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 59.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed New York Yankees | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.