Tennis · resolved market
Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24863e621cb329b3c1eea9147ae5366a7210642062ca81a3c54bb2cd79bbdd31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 3.5 | 42c | 2,810$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.26 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over 3.5 | 57c | 2,187$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.25 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over 3.5 | 58c | 2,151$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.26 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Over 3.5 | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.5 | 43c | 693.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.34 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Under 3.5 | 17c | 665.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under 3.5 | 43c | 645.6$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.4 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under 3.5 | 43c | 610.22$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.25 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 43c | 599.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Over 3.5 | 57c | 527.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.63 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over 3.5 | 52c | 381.48$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over 3.5 | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over 3.5 | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under 3.5 | 18c | 300.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under 3.5 | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 3.5 | 44c | 232.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under 3.5 | 48c | 204.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…c8febacked Over 3.5 | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under 3.5 | 43c | 192.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 43c | 175.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under 3.5 | 63c | 168.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over 3.5 | 56c | 158.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under 3.5 | 46c | 138.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…260fbacked Over 3.5 | 60c | 133.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over 3.5 | 52c | 103.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Over 3.5 | 54c | 100.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over 3.5 | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…3fb4backed Over 3.5 | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over 3.5 | 60c | 98.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…8ce2backed Over 3.5 | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…e4fabacked Under 3.5 | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under 3.5 | 44c | 78.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…52dbbacked Over 3.5 | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under 3.5 | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under 3.5 | 45c | 64.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over 3.5 | 80c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Over 3.5 | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…893ebacked Under 3.5 | 39c | 51.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under 3.5 | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over 3.5 | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under 3.5 | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 36.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…4007backed Over 3.5 | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under 3.5 | 45c | 26.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…0321backed Under 3.5 | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…f57ebacked Over 3.5 | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Over 3.5 | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…ae69backed Over 3.5 | 57c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicSafiullin won
- Set 4 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)Safiullin won
- Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.