Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f7b2858926a5fd3d6a42ad143efb0063a170f258f3c185cedc9c3a3bf1adb3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 44c | 31,063$13,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,529.7 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 19,973$9,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,043.06 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 43c | 18,446$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,446.09 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 56c | 16,858$9,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,440.23 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 13,789$7,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,817.64 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 62c | 12,272$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.3 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 57c | 12,189$6,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,947.46 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 10,993$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.47 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Yes | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed No | 56c | 6,613$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.52 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 6,499$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.71 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 10c | 6,407$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed No | 57c | 6,059$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.35 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 9c | 5,260$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.13 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 4,906$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.75 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 12c | 4,807$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.62 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b4…e777backed Yes | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 3,289$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.87 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 31c | 2,807$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.11 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,741$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.03 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 73c | 2,597$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.2 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 54c | 2,597$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.99 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,519$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 13c | 2,052$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.44 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed No | 40c | 1,814$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.79 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 56c | 1,799$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.66 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 57c | 1,776$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.19 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 1,728$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.35 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf66…a858backed Yes | 72c | 1,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Yes | 44c | 1,568$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.18 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.96 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 72c | 1,499$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.92 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 1,336$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.46 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a3…b013backed Yes | 44c | 1,279$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.04 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 1,254$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…798abacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…fdf5backed Yes | 44c | 1,118$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.31 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 56c | 1,116$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.34 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 48c | 1,036$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.17 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 57c | 969.66$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.08 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 72c | 959.75$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.66 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 890.18$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.44 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Yes | 44c | 863.3$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 2c | 862.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed No | 52c | 851.91$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 78c | 841.6$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 78c | 830.9$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.37 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 784.59$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.12 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 3c | 759$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes | 43c | 684.58$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.21 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 74c | 665.21$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.05 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 26c | 580$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 57c | 549.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 43c | 517.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.02 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 57c | 513$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 58c | 509.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.79 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 59c | 506.97$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.11 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129e…78cfbacked No | 57c | 499.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…15a2backed Yes | 44c | 474.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d3…b50abacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 56c | 449.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 423$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 423$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 56c | 410.02$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.61 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 66c | 403.21$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 62c | 403.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed No | 13c | 384.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 347.61$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.09 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…7565backed No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 44c | 306.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 44c | 305.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…4ae4backed Yes | 52c | 282.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…c022backed Yes | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…4979backed Yes | 80c | 251.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…a814backed No | 58c | 244.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 59c | 242.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa879…d9d8backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…f64fbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…7667backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?this page
- Portugal leading at halftime?No won
- Spain leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.