Fifa International · resolved market
Spain leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da088cf4d2949df882175317dc84f4931205911009e5eacb36e6bac41f83733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 90,935$63,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,172.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 38c | 35,713$13,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,571.04 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 34c | 29,554$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 28,798$9,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,806.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 26,820$16,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,129.73 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 12,466$7,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.8 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 12,114$8,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.61 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Yes | 30c | 11,761$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.67 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 38c | 10,265$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.09 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 28c | 10,060$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.08 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 9,625$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.38 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 63c | 9,000$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…6520backed Yes | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 7,500$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.23 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…6704backed Yes | 15c | 7,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 6,380$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.66 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 63c | 5,958$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.31 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 4,736$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 4,165$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.99 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 63c | 3,090$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.3 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 38c | 3,034$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.97 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 63c | 2,978$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.78 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…b594backed Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,546$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.57 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 73c | 2,502$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.46 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 62c | 2,013$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.84 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 32c | 1,955$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.5 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…10c9backed Yes | 23c | 1,779$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 62c | 1,719$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.78 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,700$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 80c | 1,092$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.79 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b2…ee81backed Yes | 28c | 1,083$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 987.97$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.17 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 21c | 904.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.84 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 32c | 881.69$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked No | 70c | 845.72$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 19c | 788.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 68c | 762.2$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.23 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 752.81$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.01 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 4c | 749.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…6bffbacked Yes | 7c | 690$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed No | 70c | 665.86$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 65c | 652.08$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes | 33c | 601.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 16c | 585$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 37c | 549.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 73c | 523$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…a9d7backed Yes | 38c | 515.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 62c | 512$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…3f20backed Yes | 37c | 486.49$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…cdb2backed No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Yes | 38c | 460.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 16c | 436.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 37c | 434$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 72c | 418.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Yes | 38c | 416.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.16 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 403$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 403$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 403$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 63c | 399.79$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 34c | 349.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 29c | 330.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Yes | 14c | 326.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…05fbbacked Yes | 37c | 323$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…04fabacked Yes | 34c | 312.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 32c | 312.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 35c | 309.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Yes | 32c | 303.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 301.13$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…45babacked Yes | 33c | 294.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 16c | 284.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…7690backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked No | 70c | 267.12$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fe…313abacked Yes | 27c | 259.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 9c | 242.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…daa8backed No | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain leading at halftime?this page
- Portugal leading at halftime?No won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.