Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af7e8c3677dc167a8e05af53da1a1bf51a897e2e05f530ca65279305ec6290c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 53,187$10,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,374.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 13,658$10,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.13 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 13,461$10,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.79 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,593$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 7,753$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.19 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 6,347$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.87 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 4,876$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 23c | 4,764$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 13c | 4,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 4,012$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.61 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,736$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.39 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 79c | 3,732$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.8 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 14c | 3,695$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.32 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 5c | 3,080$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 2,994$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,890$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.81 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…d6d6backed Yes | 17c | 2,829$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 79c | 2,710$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.09 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…1055backed Yes | 1c | 2,195$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 21c | 2,143$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 2,070$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.68 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 80c | 2,065$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.99 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…3066backed Yes | 17c | 2,033$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.35 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 1,927$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.67 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 20c | 1,638$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.63 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,537$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.86 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 12c | 931.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Yes | 19c | 896.76$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 79c | 886.96$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.95 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 815$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 21c | 772.24$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…6150backed Yes | 14c | 550.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 79c | 550$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2432…3ef5backed Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 510$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…17c0backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…ee57backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…6bffbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 418.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 12c | 403.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…d059backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…6849backed Yes | 21c | 335.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 21c | 307.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…e663backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…7565backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…2f58backed Yes | 8c | 254.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 251.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…8d1fbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…38e5backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…bf45backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf473…6cdabacked Yes | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 79c | 214.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 79c | 210.8$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…0f16backed Yes | 21c | 202.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…f551backed Yes | 11c | 178.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 21c | 176.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 16c | 172.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 79c | 164.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…9ab4backed Yes | 15c | 159.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ef…fccfbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…b8d3backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…2d62backed Yes | 15c | 133.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…814bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 78c | 124.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 53.2%84 W · 74 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…c7edbacked Yes | 12c | 112.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…bb16backed Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…f325backed Yes | 21c | 104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…6ba6backed Yes | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…c659backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7a54backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 99.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…f81cbacked Yes | 21c | 97.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 93 | 10.8%10 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…ed12backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal leading at halftime?this page
- Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Spain leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.