TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$234,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c53,187$10,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,374.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c13,658$10,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.133,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c13,461$10,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.791,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes0c10,593$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5351228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No79c7,753$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.193,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes21c6,347$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.871,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c4,876$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.012,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Yes23c4,764$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11116947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes13c4,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654a…cc32backed Yes22c4,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.994429.5%13 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c4,012$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.612,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes13c3,736$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3925418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed No79c3,732$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.811942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes14c3,695$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.321,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes5c3,080$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0142126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c2,994$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes12c2,890$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.819440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe159…d6d6backed Yes17c2,829$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.15119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No79c2,710$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.0997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb4…1055backed Yes1c2,195$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid+16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes21c2,143$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No79c2,070$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.681,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No80c2,065$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.997865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Yes17c2,033$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.353522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No79c1,927$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.673,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes20c1,638$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.6335229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes21c1,537$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.862,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010328.2%29 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009335.5%33 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes12c931.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9553629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes19c896.76$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16716032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked No79c886.96$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9525643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes6c815$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.133,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes21c772.24$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.172,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ee…6150backed Yes14c550.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755024%12 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No79c550$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2432…3ef5backed Yes22c545.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No79c510$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.117052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10545248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a72…17c0backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…ee57backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4d…6bffbacked Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No80c418.8$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Yes12c403.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4713119.1%25 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a0…d059backed Yes12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574f…6849backed Yes21c335.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.518047.2%85 W · 95 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes21c307.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5356022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d15…e663backed Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ec…1481backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cd…7565backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes15c260$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3917020%34 W · 136 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No79c260$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca1…2f58backed Yes8c254.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.325433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes10c251.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.151,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…8d1fbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%6 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8965…38e5backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcd…bf45backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f1…da32backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf473…6cdabacked Yes11c218.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No79c214.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1484738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed No79c210.8$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1933438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2907…0f16backed Yes21c202.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaec…32a1backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4229430.3%89 W · 205 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d7…f551backed Yes11c178.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Yes21c176.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3715130.5%46 W · 105 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Yes16c172.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5617356.6%98 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked No79c164.26$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6362633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe40b…9ab4backed Yes15c159.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0419939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ef…fccfbacked Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed43…b8d3backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306839.7%27 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f74…2d62backed Yes15c133.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Yes21c130$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.320014.5%29 W · 171 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c3…814bbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No78c124.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa135…68b8backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532245.3%146 W · 176 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515853.2%84 W · 74 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe2b…c7edbacked Yes12c112.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f9f…bb16backed Yes21c105$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.053531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda42…f325backed Yes21c104$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.85928.8%17 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0478…6ba6backed Yes11c103$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a4…c659backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214425%11 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2119760.4%119 W · 78 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba4…7a54backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2114244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c99.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.952,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x71e7…f81cbacked Yes21c97.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.489310.8%10 W · 83 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf91…4c43backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e96…ed12backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.