CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4f3cc7b427dba5d235d5fde3ddbe78df2ac64afe9eb1e48ab42d138daa52959

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Red Feetof paiN Academy, Red Feet
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,006 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked paiN Academy	74c	3,093$2,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,284.99	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked Red Feet	41c	2,940$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,739.57	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Red Feet	52c	2,470$1,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175.03	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed paiN Academy	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	574	0%0 W · 574 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN Academy	56c	1,718$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.15	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed paiN Academy	34c	1,164$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.61	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-25%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Red Feet	31c	813.09$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.46	289	43.6%126 W · 163 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Red Feet	33c	809.6$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.51	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Red Feet	30c	743$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.1	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Red Feet	20c	720$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576	1,281	37.8%484 W · 797 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed paiN Academy	62c	670.64$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.79	1,088	54.2%590 W · 498 L	+39.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Red Feet	31c	665$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.85	132	46.2%61 W · 71 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN Academy	64c	652.33$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.31	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb84…21a7backed paiN Academy	75c	620.89$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.09	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Red Feet	38c	522.77$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.39	223	46.2%103 W · 120 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed paiN Academy	73c	521.88$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.68	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN Academy	38c	489.87$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.45	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy	60c	469.92$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.26	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked paiN Academy	75c	464.08$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	150	47.3%71 W · 79 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Red Feet	33c	447.97$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.15	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Red Feet	28c	412.86$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.66	358	39.4%141 W · 217 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN Academy	63c	368.19$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.49	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked paiN Academy	72c	358.68$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.63	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Red Feet	22c	356.11$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.91	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Red Feet	31c	304.06$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.82	334	48.2%161 W · 173 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Red Feet	52c	270.76$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.96	1,033	53.2%550 W · 483 L	+64.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Red Feet	64c	233.54$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.07	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN Academy	11c	230$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed paiN Academy	70c	200$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.1	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Red Feet	74c	200$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Red Feet	32c	197.76$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.76	144	43.1%62 W · 82 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Feet	51c	177.81$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.75	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50b0…cdf7backed paiN Academy	39c	174.82$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN Academy	63c	160.71$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.79	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Red Feet	50c	160.54$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.97	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2363…ed78backed Red Feet	63c	158.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.89	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1f…797abacked paiN Academy	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked paiN Academy	51c	151.27$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.78	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Red Feet	36c	150$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.75	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked paiN Academy	39c	147.72$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Red Feet	37c	144$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.38	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Red Feet	33c	141$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.85	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Red Feet	47c	139.43$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.8	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac60…b775backed paiN Academy	71c	136.1$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.63	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Red Feet	44c	133.31$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.24	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Red Feet	33c	121.85$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.6	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Red Feet	65c	119.95$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.98	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN Academy	53c	115$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.13	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked paiN Academy	42c	110$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	58	67.2%39 W · 19 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Red Feet	39c	97.86$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.48	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed paiN Academy	57c	97.22$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy	58c	95.36$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.48	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Red Feet	33c	90$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.28	286	51%146 W · 140 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked paiN Academy	63c	84.98$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.26	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Red Feet	19c	78.95$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.95	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed paiN Academy	35c	78.62$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.82	700	42.3%296 W · 404 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Red Feet	52c	75.9$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.46	281	73%205 W · 76 L	+21.6wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked Red Feet	40c	75.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.25	115	36.5%42 W · 73 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed paiN Academy	69c	73$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.72	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb71f…043ebacked paiN Academy	61c	69.27$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.06	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Red Feet	36c	67.25$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc5…1e15backed Red Feet	34c	58.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.66per pick	34cpaid	+194.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed paiN Academy	64c	55.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.41	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Red Feet	36c	54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.41	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked paiN Academy	70c	54$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.87	361	74.8%270 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57ab…6776backed Red Feet	61c	52.02$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.29	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Red Feet	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Red Feet	65c	48.46$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.96	422	55.7%235 W · 187 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Red Feet	65c	48.38$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.93	746	53.5%399 W · 347 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Red Feet	65c	46.15$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.15	399	55.4%221 W · 178 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Red Feet	65c	46$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	130	60.8%79 W · 51 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Red Feet	65c	43$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.05	457	54.5%249 W · 208 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Red Feet	37c	40.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.81	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f9…7d44backed paiN Academy	35c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…4cdfbacked Red Feet	45c	39.79$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.79	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed Red Feet	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	73	74%54 W · 19 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	68cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked paiN Academy	38c	35.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.31	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Red Feet	51c	30.45$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.83	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed paiN Academy	76c	30$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked paiN Academy	36c	29.17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac71…f74cbacked paiN Academy	71c	28.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	-15.9wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked paiN Academy	55c	20.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	1,068	55%587 W · 481 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1357…4829backed Red Feet	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Red Feet	64c	19.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.96	137	51.8%71 W · 66 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Red Feet	65c	19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.65	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Red Feet	65c	19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.65	271	56.8%154 W · 117 L	+13.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Red Feet	65c	19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.65	514	46.9%241 W · 273 L	-22.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StagepaiN Academy won
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5)Red Feet won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event