CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x046aea23d24ee6d4aae63b82d223fbe29ccfecdecceb8b4736d7aa5b059ca9a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Feetof paiN Academy, Red Feet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked paiN Academy | 51c | 4,931$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.99 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed paiN Academy | 41c | 1,352$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Feet | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Red Feet | 51c | 854$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.2 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Red Feet | 53c | 811.07$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.17 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed paiN Academy | 50c | 750.63$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.72 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Red Feet | 52c | 642.71$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Red Feet | 49c | 598.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.04 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Red Feet | 25c | 479.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.46 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Red Feet | 55c | 476.54$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.04 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Feet | 52c | 450.56$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.79 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Red Feet | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Red Feet | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Red Feet | 50c | 237.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Red Feet | 51c | 227.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Red Feet | 55c | 223.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Red Feet | 51c | 202.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed paiN Academy | 49c | 179$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Red Feet | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed paiN Academy | 47c | 146.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Red Feet | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Red Feet | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Red Feet | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Red Feet | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed paiN Academy | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Red Feet | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Red Feet | 51c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…c08abacked paiN Academy | 45c | 61.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Red Feet | 55c | 59.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked paiN Academy | 45c | 50.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed paiN Academy | 50c | 42.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed Red Feet | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…e0f3backed paiN Academy | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed paiN Academy | 46c | 30.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Red Feet | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Red Feet | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Red Feet | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…1b01backed paiN Academy | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StagepaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet - Map 2 WinnerRed Feet won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.