Tennis · resolved market
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Katarzyna Kawa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fbfbfeebb344292cc61aed7ef24a833c3ecee3d9283a439734bfa6223928df3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Simona Waltertof Simona Waltert, Katarzyna Kawa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Katarzyna Kawa | 11c | 8,844$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…4917backed Katarzyna Kawa | 38c | 2,505$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.55 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Simona Waltert | 62c | 2,152$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Simona Waltert | 80c | 1,000$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Simona Waltert | 62c | 980.22$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.67 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Simona Waltert | 80c | 842$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Simona Waltert | 50c | 302.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.42 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Simona Waltert | 80c | 274.41$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Katarzyna Kawa | 37c | 244.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katarzyna Kawa | 21c | 243.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Katarzyna Kawa | 44c | 208.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Simona Waltert | 75c | 200.43$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Simona Waltert | 56c | 198.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 33c | 196.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Simona Waltert | 56c | 179.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Katarzyna Kawa | 42c | 158.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Katarzyna Kawa | 38c | 148.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Simona Waltert | 59c | 131$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Katarzyna Kawa | 41c | 131$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Katarzyna Kawa | 44c | 122.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed Katarzyna Kawa | 34c | 102.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…ea49backed Katarzyna Kawa | 44c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Simona Waltert | 42c | 97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Katarzyna Kawa | 37c | 95.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Katarzyna Kawa | 37c | 95.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Katarzyna Kawa | 61c | 95.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 26c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Katarzyna Kawa | 34c | 83.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Katarzyna Kawa | 37c | 81.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…797abacked Katarzyna Kawa | 37c | 78.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Simona Waltert | 68c | 77.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Simona Waltert | 43c | 76.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Katarzyna Kawa | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Simona Waltert | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Simona Waltert | 64c | 69.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…1e16backed Simona Waltert | 46c | 63.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Simona Waltert | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Katarzyna Kawa | 44c | 59.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 36c | 55.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Katarzyna Kawa | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Simona Waltert | 58c | 49.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Katarzyna Kawa | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Simona Waltert | 42c | 35.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Simona Waltert | 75c | 32.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Simona Waltert | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Simona Waltert | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Simona Waltert | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Simona Waltert | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Simona Waltert | 48c | 27.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Simona Waltert | 56c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Simona Waltert | 66c | 20.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.