TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b7c…ea49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joventut vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.95
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Paris Basketball vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$8.3
Paris Basketball vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+64.8%+$11.8
Anadolu Efes vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.3
Barcelona vs. Fenerbahcebacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
BC Dubai vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.45
Saski Baskonia vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$21.05
Paris Basketball vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Virtus Bologna vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+74.7%+$36.35
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+48.9%+$11.5
Virtus Bologna vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.02
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Aschaffenburg: Valentina Steiner vs Sapfo Sakellaridibacked Sapfo Sakellaridi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.63
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.96
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Snigur (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Nao Hibinobacked Nao Hibino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
ITF Gdansk: Beatrise Zeltina vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Set Handicap: Snigur (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5)backed Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
ITF Oliva: Sara Dols vs Margaux Maquetbacked Sara Dols · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$40.11
Set Handicap: Navarro (-1.5) vs Tjen (+1.5)backed Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Alana Smith vs Victoria Bosiobacked Victoria Bosio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Madrid: Elina Avanesyan vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Antalya: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Amarissa Kiara Tothbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Antalya: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.55
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$6.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.