Euroleague · resolved market
Virtus Bologna vs. Fenerbahce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa303ec7e9dc2c43ac8c96aa10cb5042897f3d95ee5de242a52dca82f0485f020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Virtus Bologna, Fenerbahce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fenerbahce | 61c | 8,084$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.59 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fenerbahce | 62c | 7,287$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.26 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus Bologna | 40c | 5,239$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.97 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…6eb8backed Fenerbahce | 59c | 3,120$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Virtus Bologna | 35c | 2,537$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 2,359$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Virtus Bologna | 38c | 2,304$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.07 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus Bologna | 36c | 2,078$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.25 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 2,014$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.33 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Virtus Bologna | 39c | 1,224$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.36 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 1,073$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fenerbahce | 52c | 945.7$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus Bologna | 52c | 920.68$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.1 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa854…6e4fbacked Fenerbahce | 61c | 849.11$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Virtus Bologna | 25c | 840.16$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virtus Bologna | 39c | 687.53$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.29 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Fenerbahce | 51c | 527.45$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Fenerbahce | 58c | 518$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fenerbahce | 62c | 516$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Fenerbahce | 59c | 428.73$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fenerbahce | 62c | 411.18$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fenerbahce | 63c | 405.31$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…affbbacked Virtus Bologna | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Virtus Bologna | 41c | 373.17$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 318$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virtus Bologna | 49c | 309.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fenerbahce | 49c | 302.42$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 301.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 252.38$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Virtus Bologna | 39c | 241.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…84bfbacked Fenerbahce | 57c | 217$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Virtus Bologna | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Virtus Bologna | 45c | 194.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus Bologna | 48c | 187.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Virtus Bologna | 35c | 178.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fenerbahce | 55c | 177.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 177.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Virtus Bologna | 35c | 172.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 163$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 148.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Virtus Bologna | 33c | 128.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Virtus Bologna | 36c | 126.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Virtus Bologna | 38c | 123.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…0602backed Virtus Bologna | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Virtus Bologna | 38c | 101.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Fenerbahce | 52c | 96.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a81…5a46backed Virtus Bologna | 44c | 95.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Fenerbahce | 58c | 95.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Fenerbahce | 47c | 92.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +155%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…ea49backed Fenerbahce | 57c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fenerbahce | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Virtus Bologna | 43c | 77.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Virtus Bologna | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Fenerbahce | 48c | 62.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Virtus Bologna | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Virtus Bologna | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2556…07a6backed Fenerbahce | 62c | 55.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Fenerbahce | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…3b6dbacked Fenerbahce | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virtus Bologna | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Fenerbahce | 50c | 40.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Virtus Bologna | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 34.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virtus Bologna | 37c | 29.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 28.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Virtus Bologna | 39c | 26.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Fenerbahce | 60c | 23.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked Virtus Bologna | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fenerbahce | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c95…c056backed Fenerbahce | 62c | 19.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed Fenerbahce | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.