Euroleague · resolved market
Paris Basketball vs. Olympiacos B.C.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c40bd561912546dbb70037f152c08976ed17485689ce0b3596829b7bef13063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Paris Basketball, Olympiacos B.C.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,996 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Paris Basketball | 38c | 9,815$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Olympiacos B.C. | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 2,404$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.26 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 62c | 2,313$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.19 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 63c | 2,081$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.08 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Paris Basketball | 38c | 2,075$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.64 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Paris Basketball | 19c | 1,895$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Paris Basketball | 36c | 1,745$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 62c | 1,620$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 795.21$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…c68abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 62c | 652.19$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed Olympiacos B.C. | 76c | 569.17$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 542.84$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Paris Basketball | 31c | 496.67$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Paris Basketball | 37c | 477.77$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 62c | 474$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Paris Basketball | 23c | 426.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Olympiacos B.C. | 73c | 394.06$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paris Basketball | 36c | 284.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Paris Basketball | 35c | 271.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Olympiacos B.C. | 62c | 259$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Paris Basketball | 35c | 209.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paris Basketball | 36c | 209.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Olympiacos B.C. | 62c | 170.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 167.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Paris Basketball | 34c | 153.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Paris Basketball | 35c | 128.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 121.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Paris Basketball | 22c | 119.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Paris Basketball | 38c | 115.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 61c | 112.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…3676backed Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 75c | 106.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Paris Basketball | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Olympiacos B.C. | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 89.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Paris Basketball | 35c | 84.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Paris Basketball | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…9ad9backed Paris Basketball | 36c | 67.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Paris Basketball | 39c | 56.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Paris Basketball | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 51.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 42.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…bb52backed Paris Basketball | 37c | 40.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 38.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…207fbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 38.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Paris Basketball | 29c | 35.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Olympiacos B.C. | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…c15dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 31.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb048…b217backed Paris Basketball | 37c | 29.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 28.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…79c5backed Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 23.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd706…7b00backed Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 21.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…ea49backed Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Olympiacos B.C. | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d9…f18abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Olympiacos B.C. | 62c | 18.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf857…95ccbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Olympiacos B.C. | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.