Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Partizan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d289e8b6494ad193c796421dde45189ee6b8e9ec9e990a7083eca0545464039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanneof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Partizan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Partizan | 51c | 4,942$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.83 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 2,934$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.95 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 32c | 2,154$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.8 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Partizan | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 57c | 1,640$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 53c | 1,478$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.4 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 1,400$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.51 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Partizan | 54c | 1,052$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.7 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Partizan | 72c | 859.39$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Partizan | 71c | 852.11$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Partizan | 63c | 798.51$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Partizan | 68c | 465.53$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.56 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Partizan | 71c | 458.1$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.19 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Partizan | 72c | 233.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Partizan | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Partizan | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 46c | 169.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 162.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Partizan | 62c | 161.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Partizan | 40c | 132.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 104.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Partizan | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Partizan | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 43c | 94.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 50c | 71.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…46c4backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Partizan | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…e547backed Partizan | 66c | 59.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Partizan | 72c | 57.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 54.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Partizan | 52c | 51.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Partizan | 56c | 47.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…5c2cbacked Partizan | 72c | 43.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…813dbacked Partizan | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Partizan | 52c | 38.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…ea49backed Partizan | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Partizan | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Partizan | 72c | 20.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Partizan | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…3ad1backed Partizan | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.