TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Nao Hibino

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Darja Semenistajaof Darja Semenistaja, Nao Hibino
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58d7…17e1backed Darja Semenistaja49c20,431$10,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,339.811675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nao Hibino34c9,093$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.718,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Nao Hibino48c7,917$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80011342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Nao Hibino52c7,229$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,793.432,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Darja Semenistaja74c6,656$4,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nao Hibino51c4,972$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.636,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c0…ecf1backed Nao Hibino57c4,212$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4007625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Nao Hibino48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.957061.4%43 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Nao Hibino38c2,816$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.815530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Darja Semenistaja54c2,749$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.554,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Darja Semenistaja52c2,200$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.981,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Darja Semenistaja52c1,862$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.979855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Darja Semenistaja52c1,625$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.223,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Darja Semenistaja66c1,247$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.584,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nao Hibino50c1,164$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.968,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Nao Hibino48c1,119$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.171,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Darja Semenistaja52c656.3$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.529,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Nao Hibino36c605.11$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3122544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Nao Hibino48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2887,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Darja Semenistaja49c582.96$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.361,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Darja Semenistaja51c570$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.264065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Nao Hibino48c555.55$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.2610648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Nao Hibino48c532.77$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.731,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Nao Hibino48c477.86$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3752152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Nao Hibino54c458.75$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.732,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Nao Hibino53c437.74$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23245256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Nao Hibino48c414.39$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.282,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Darja Semenistaja53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Nao Hibino48c366.67$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17613948.2%67 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Darja Semenistaja58c360.12$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.258047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Darja Semenistaja50c354.92$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4790335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Nao Hibino39c354.54$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14085348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Nao Hibino34c312.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2292145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Nao Hibino46c281.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.611,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Darja Semenistaja76c277.57$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6244448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nao Hibino48c249.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Nao Hibino22c229.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.571,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nao Hibino37c225.82$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.278,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Nao Hibino39c212.1$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.991,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Nao Hibino47c203.74$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7668935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Nao Hibino8c201.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.142,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Nao Hibino47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9422246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Darja Semenistaja51c187.15$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.736848.4%178 W · 190 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nao Hibino48c185$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.83,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nao Hibino41c114.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.812,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nao Hibino44c107.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.141,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Darja Semenistaja56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.141,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Nao Hibino32c106.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.351,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Nao Hibino48c106.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9655032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Darja Semenistaja77c105.24$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.121,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Nao Hibino48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015751.6%81 W · 76 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Nao Hibino55c102.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4823159.3%137 W · 94 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Darja Semenistaja51c102.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2533152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Darja Semenistaja49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0467852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Darja Semenistaja65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3551252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Darja Semenistaja56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3594447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Darja Semenistaja75c93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2563144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Nao Hibino50c89.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.062,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Nao Hibino48c81.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Nao Hibino49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Nao Hibino49c79.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.991,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Nao Hibino35c71.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.731,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Nao Hibino50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510965.1%71 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Nao Hibino46c65.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8736743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Darja Semenistaja56c65.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.959824.5%24 W · 74 L-16.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nao Hibino30c58.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4966834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Nao Hibino56c51.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Nao Hibino48c51.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Nao Hibino47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nao Hibino44c47.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.982,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Nao Hibino48c46.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1543952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Nao Hibino45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.859253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Darja Semenistaja70c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.292674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Nao Hibino48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Darja Semenistaja75c41.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.371,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Darja Semenistaja48c41.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3729940.1%120 W · 179 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Nao Hibino40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Darja Semenistaja52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.722,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Nao Hibino48c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Darja Semenistaja52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7c…ea49backed Nao Hibino49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Nao Hibino48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.830436.8%112 W · 192 L-19.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Nao Hibino49c30.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.971,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Darja Semenistaja47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.881,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55c6…0d49backed Darja Semenistaja75c29.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.334381.4%35 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick78cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nao Hibino58c27.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.063,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Nao Hibino59c26.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7144465.3%290 W · 154 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Darja Semenistaja48c26.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6861755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Darja Semenistaja44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1445053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Darja Semenistaja70c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9538459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Darja Semenistaja79c22.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.782,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed Nao Hibino55c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5518433.2%61 W · 123 L-40.4wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Darja Semenistaja61c20.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.231,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Nao Hibino48c20.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Darja Semenistaja75c20.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1978847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e2…c81fbacked Darja Semenistaja51c20.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.028762.1%54 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Nao Hibino52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Darja Semenistaja75c18.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5960651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b2…a6a3backed Darja Semenistaja74c14.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.684979.6%39 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5160…ac0bbacked Darja Semenistaja80c13.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.6910469.2%72 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.