Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Olimpia Milano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeef4d82bd0c58969c0476b5597951404c93438f024fb3b0a14f8956339dad12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Olimpia Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 12,456$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,231.51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Olimpia Milano | 58c | 9,691$5,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Olimpia Milano | 58c | 4,288$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 3c | 3,424$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Olimpia Milano | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Olimpia Milano | 58c | 2,358$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 1,923$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.53 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 1,757$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.94 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 8c | 1,749$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…2e46backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 1,657$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Olimpia Milano | 61c | 1,304$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 1,021$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.74 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 964.12$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 746$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 37c | 668.53$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.3 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 60c | 586.98$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.3 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 6c | 545.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 11cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 45c | 492.15$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.47 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 45c | 370.87$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 49c | 322.24$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 10c | 293$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 244$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Olimpia Milano | 58c | 242$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Olimpia Milano | 58c | 224.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 43c | 223$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 213.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 202.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 191.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7644…0471backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 170.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…93bbbacked Olimpia Milano | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 116$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…f667backed Olimpia Milano | 59c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 37c | 88.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…c169backed Olimpia Milano | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Olimpia Milano | 57c | 78.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Olimpia Milano | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…87c9backed Olimpia Milano | 59c | 45.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.40per pick | 58cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…4f76backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 44c | 39.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Olimpia Milano | 59c | 38.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 31.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…ea49backed Olimpia Milano | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Olimpia Milano | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olimpia Milano | 60c | 22.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.