Tennis · resolved market
Antalya: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Amarissa Kiara Toth
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc144716f650894e5b804b0730061d56e407d465413d0f10208d72d5e5320c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amarissa Kiara Tothof Oleksandra Oliynykova, Amarissa Kiara Toth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth | 41c | 6,170$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.98 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 0c | 5,410$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth | 37c | 4,797$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.96 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 56c | 4,677$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.17 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 52c | 3,526$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.75 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 39c | 2,861$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.07 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 19c | 2,006$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.04 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 19c | 1,191$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.41 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 18c | 799.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 47c | 625.82$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.88 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 21c | 553.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 19c | 452$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Amarissa Kiara Toth | 40c | 440$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 68c | 422.74$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 56c | 356.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth | 53c | 345.23$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…5503backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…1958backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 73c | 299.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Amarissa Kiara Toth | 49c | 295$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 61c | 263.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 30c | 246.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 31c | 241.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 34c | 229.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 22c | 205$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8235…b2d0backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 25c | 200.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 75c | 191.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 48c | 177.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 55c | 177.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 36c | 169.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 56c | 143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 69c | 141.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 59c | 131.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 38c | 130.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 28c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 26cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 63c | 105.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 95.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth | 58c | 92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce9…44dabacked Amarissa Kiara Toth | 68c | 87.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 40c | 86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth | 40c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 46c | 77.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 31c | 74.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 25c | 74.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 19c | 60.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 322 | 46.9%151 W · 171 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 19c | 60.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 39c | 56.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 80c | 54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 43c | 51.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 79c | 44.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Amarissa Kiara Toth | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 63c | 37.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…72ddbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 64c | 32.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 129 | 65.9%85 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Amarissa Kiara Toth | 40c | 29.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 41c | 29.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Amarissa Kiara Toth | 77c | 21.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…ea49backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.