Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Fenerbahce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03ab2ea9238db99cf2c37dd61657227c2e19ca6f1bf400bedc2889f5154bd36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Barcelona, Fenerbahce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Fenerbahce | 41c | 2,995$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda02…fd6fbacked Barcelona | 35c | 2,988$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fenerbahce | 79c | 2,722$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.13 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Barcelona | 59c | 2,673$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.25 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Barcelona | 16c | 2,305$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.16 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 1,668$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.83 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Barcelona | 12c | 1,212$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fenerbahce | 70c | 997.2$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…1cb6backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 963.3$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Barcelona | 31c | 649.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Barcelona | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 11cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Barcelona | 23c | 374$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Fenerbahce | 76c | 308.38$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Barcelona | 58c | 300.41$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Fenerbahce | 54c | 189.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Barcelona | 23c | 174.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Barcelona | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fenerbahce | 75c | 163$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 161.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed Barcelona | 61c | 157.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Fenerbahce | 41c | 152$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Fenerbahce | 40c | 127$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Barcelona | 20c | 126.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Barcelona | 59c | 121.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Fenerbahce | 41c | 107$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Fenerbahce | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Fenerbahce | 40c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Barcelona | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Fenerbahce | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Fenerbahce | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Fenerbahce | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Fenerbahce | 41c | 39.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…d69cbacked Fenerbahce | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Barcelona | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Fenerbahce | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Barcelona | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…e514backed Barcelona | 36c | 32.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Barcelona | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Barcelona | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40b…efebbacked Fenerbahce | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Barcelona | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…40c8backed Barcelona | 59c | 26.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Barcelona | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Barcelona | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…5f43backed Barcelona | 58c | 24.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Barcelona | 58c | 23.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Fenerbahce | 80c | 21.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Fenerbahce | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Barcelona | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…ea49backed Barcelona | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Barcelona | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Barcelona | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.