Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Serbia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4433390d84a5815a602ccb11cc372644ba0e26d74d5f4bef33f57de9f55977
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Turkeyof Turkey, Serbia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Serbia | 0c | 10,015$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Turkey | 33c | 4,133$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Turkey | 41c | 3,894$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.1 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Serbia | 67c | 3,110$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Serbia | 60c | 2,237$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Serbia | 58c | 1,999$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.55 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Turkey | 34c | 900$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.46 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Serbia | 65c | 846.28$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.36 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Turkey | 36c | 844.98$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Serbia | 69c | 645$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Turkey | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed Serbia | 69c | 575.67$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Serbia | 67c | 546.72$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Serbia | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Serbia | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Serbia | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Serbia | 60c | 405.16$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Turkey | 51c | 393.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Turkey | 35c | 370.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Serbia | 60c | 337.19$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Turkey | 35c | 249.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked Turkey | 34c | 241.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Serbia | 67c | 202.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Serbia | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Turkey | 40c | 179.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Turkey | 30c | 176.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Turkey | 28c | 163.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Serbia | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Serbia | 67c | 141.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…e661backed Serbia | 31c | 140.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a2…f0f2backed Serbia | 73c | 136.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Serbia | 59c | 135.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…729bbacked Turkey | 25c | 135$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2954…d34ebacked Turkey | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…ef5abacked Serbia | 69c | 114.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Serbia | 66c | 109.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Turkey | 35c | 106$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Serbia | 75c | 105$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Turkey | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…121dbacked Turkey | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Serbia | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Turkey | 30c | 96.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…af3ebacked Serbia | 63c | 94.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Serbia | 66c | 88.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Turkey | 39c | 85.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ee…9b70backed Turkey | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…169fbacked Serbia | 68c | 76.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Serbia | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…3d82backed Serbia | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Turkey | 26c | 63.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Serbia | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…d826backed Serbia | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Turkey | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Serbia | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb614…cf98backed Serbia | 77c | 41.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Serbia | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…e634backed Turkey | 57c | 36.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Serbia | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Serbia | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Serbia | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…9bffbacked Serbia | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…ea49backed Serbia | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.