TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Paris Basketball vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paris Basketballof Paris Basketball, ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,508 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d11…c449backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c2,139$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Paris Basketball62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Paris Basketball68c969$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.081650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball67c931$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.727557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Paris Basketball68c901.48$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.477159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Paris Basketball67c792.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.2510663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paris Basketball64c613.94$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0828943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c531.51$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7754251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Paris Basketball62c529.15$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8114542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne19c495.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9535234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne36c482.86$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0721444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c468.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0812042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne40c449.8$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.814447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne35c437.97$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.513147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Paris Basketball67c371.68$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1612040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne45c301.11$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0837052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Paris Basketball64c291.24$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.415642.9%24 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne40c276.32$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.482740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne34c236.69$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9126935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Paris Basketball64c225$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.858644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c219.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Paris Basketball59c190$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.24438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45bd…ddc3backed Paris Basketball55c180.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+88.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c164.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.28845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Paris Basketball69c155$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.056962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne33c150$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4611635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Paris Basketball68c147.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18b…f404backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne33c144$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne36c138.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9190…ed1ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne33c128$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb6…bafdbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c126$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd79…bb5bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne30c125$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf04…46cbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c125$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne48c122.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa322…29d6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne33c119$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587a…87ebbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c119$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…fe20backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c118$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fd…063bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c111$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Paris Basketball63c110.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.672347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Paris Basketball68c108.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne13c107.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.141346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick23cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x061f…d92ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c105$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne31c104$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.72850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Paris Basketball50c100.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.115240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c97.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.324430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Paris Basketball43c93.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7710736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne40c78.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52560%15 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne38c75.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.856363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Paris Basketball68c69.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne31c67.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.131446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Paris Basketball64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Paris Basketball65c61.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Paris Basketball58c58.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.276144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…2561backed Paris Basketball70c58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Paris Basketball69c57.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.865453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3057…45e5backed Paris Basketball67c57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9566…d798backed Paris Basketball70c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne30c55.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.87247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfeb…ef84backed Paris Basketball70c52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4120936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e9…f353backed Paris Basketball68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5b…fd52backed Paris Basketball70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne36c49.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8226544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cab…d8bebacked Paris Basketball70c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9875…4b40backed Paris Basketball70c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f10…74f6backed Paris Basketball67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…d026backed Paris Basketball70c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a66…707fbacked Paris Basketball67c43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c8…7ee3backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne31c42.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa66…a9fdbacked Paris Basketball68c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c02…e3d3backed Paris Basketball70c41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x296f…dd54backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66055%33 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad34…9f3abacked Paris Basketball68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Paris Basketball62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.36929%20 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa9e…3c9abacked Paris Basketball70c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca1…baf3backed Paris Basketball70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a9…ddafbacked Paris Basketball67c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a2…8e3abacked Paris Basketball70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc2d…181dbacked Paris Basketball70c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacc…5814backed Paris Basketball67c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…2285backed Paris Basketball67c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d30…f22fbacked Paris Basketball70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne62c27.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf44…b2e4backed Paris Basketball70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7c…ea49backed Paris Basketball67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce2…a155backed Paris Basketball70c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3246…08adbacked Paris Basketball68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6188…3373backed Paris Basketball70c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53b2…19b5backed Paris Basketball70c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa789…66d5backed Paris Basketball70c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Paris Basketball68c20.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.651060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3138…12bcbacked Paris Basketball70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4f…dd07backed Paris Basketball70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc1…3be4backed Paris Basketball70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b9…90dabacked Paris Basketball68c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76cf…47d5backed Paris Basketball70c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…58b8backed Paris Basketball69c15.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Paris Basketball69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.657356.2%41 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.