Euroleague · resolved market
Joventut vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45a1460a242217f8424ccb0340228c61cb57237474b3e445c4165b3220bde582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Joventut, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Joventut | 52c | 2,875$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Valencia | 63c | 2,199$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Valencia | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia | 58c | 1,743$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.32 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joventut | 13c | 1,573$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Joventut | 25c | 1,437$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Joventut | 46c | 1,420$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.59 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Joventut | 2c | 1,228$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Joventut | 27c | 1,065$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Joventut | 51c | 803.02$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.54 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Joventut | 41c | 697.28$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Valencia | 53c | 537.09$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.45 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Joventut | 34c | 499.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Valencia | 65c | 438.34$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.51 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Joventut | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…d74ebacked Valencia | 79c | 380.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…9eabbacked Valencia | 53c | 379.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Valencia | 53c | 369.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Valencia | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Joventut | 25c | 315.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed Joventut | 46c | 297.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joventut | 41c | 247.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed Joventut | 39c | 235.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Joventut | 40c | 230.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f9…d399backed Valencia | 58c | 209.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Joventut | 43c | 195.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…24c5backed Valencia | 53c | 188.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Joventut | 18c | 156.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4288backed Valencia | 52c | 151.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Valencia | 55c | 150.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…1e8fbacked Valencia | 70c | 148.69$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Joventut | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Joventut | 38c | 125.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Joventut | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Joventut | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Valencia | 47c | 114.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Joventut | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Joventut | 38c | 106.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Joventut | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Valencia | 57c | 99.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Joventut | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joventut | 30c | 83.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Valencia | 54c | 77.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Valencia | 57c | 76.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Joventut | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Joventut | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Joventut | 48c | 63.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Joventut | 38c | 60.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…8597backed Valencia | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Joventut | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Valencia | 51c | 48.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Valencia | 79c | 45.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Joventut | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Valencia | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Valencia | 79c | 35.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Joventut | 45c | 35.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Valencia | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Joventut | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Joventut | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…ea49backed Valencia | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Valencia | 49c | 29.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Valencia | 56c | 27.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Joventut | 43c | 26.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Joventut | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Valencia | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Joventut | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…29ebbacked Joventut | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf24…e995backed Valencia | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked Valencia | 58c | 21.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Valencia | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Valencia | 73c | 14.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Joventut vs. Valenciathis page
- Joventut vs. Valencia: O/U 177.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.