Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03cd90afca5904d89cecedde0acfca5b12accdc3ba7040bed5b1e203be1d5184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalgiris Kaunasof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Zalgiris Kaunas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 2,562$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.48 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 69c | 1,700$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 1,058$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.05 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 32c | 1,020$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.35 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 821$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.4 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 67c | 704.97$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 76c | 597$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 544.64$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 68c | 440.78$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 59c | 391$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 318.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 66c | 297.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa854…6e4fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 61c | 284.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 32c | 261.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 213.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 199.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 72c | 118$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 79c | 115.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 111$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 102.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 88.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 77c | 85.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 69c | 78.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 64c | 76.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 75.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 33c | 68.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 77c | 64.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 33c | 58.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 69c | 57.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 46.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…bdffbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…ea49backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 67c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 61c | 23.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…36ebbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 23.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 57c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2556…07a6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 79c | 12.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.