Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f9998d68a31adc4e29d8e0e09e78b56cf8f60de86d6a535ef493915af81ab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Under | 49c | 2,813$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.82 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 51c | 1,529$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.33 | 779 | 49.9%389 W · 390 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 54c | 1,264$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.37 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 37c | 728.58$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.09 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Under | 51c | 661.21$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 52c | 613.51$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.51 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 51c | 528$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.22 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 47c | 499.98$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 49c | 462.19$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.72 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 446.62$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.07 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 52c | 398.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…80febacked Under | 44c | 366.64$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 51c | 351$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Over | 54c | 276.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 61c | 237.32$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Under | 49c | 203.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Under | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Under | 49c | 165.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 53c | 155.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 51c | 152.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed Over | 53c | 151.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…7301backed Under | 49c | 150.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 46c | 129.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 54c | 120.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Under | 46c | 108.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…e9ddbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Over | 53c | 94.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 50c | 79.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…6d30backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Under | 33c | 61.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 35c | 52.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Under | 40c | 51.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 53c | 51.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9800backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 64cpaid | -51%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…f187backed Over | 63c | 47.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Under | 45c | 44.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 523 | 45.9%240 W · 283 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Over | 53c | 42.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…e150backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…83eebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Under | 46c | 34.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…da1fbacked Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6c…fe45backed Over | 70c | 28.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a3…e599backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…797abacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 4?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.