Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd076333ccc235012ff9941aace344debedd5637dd70336bb769cb58808e3a199

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,449 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xec54…e8c1backed Over	55c	7,257$3,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,978.93	1,320	38.6%510 W · 810 L	-66.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under	44c	5,741$2,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,199.15	1,502	50.3%756 W · 746 L	+71.2wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Under	48c	4,167$1,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,183.02	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	45c	2,126$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,169.4	1,213	43.4%527 W · 686 L	-15.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over	52c	1,969$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.06	248	36.7%91 W · 157 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under	46c	1,800$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.99	903	50.8%459 W · 444 L	+17.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Over	54c	1,033$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.76	147	35.4%52 W · 95 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under	38c	999.98$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.99	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over	58c	928.22$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.04	421	49.2%207 W · 214 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over	62c	901.3$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.8	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Over	55c	705.45$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over	52c	692$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.05	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over	60c	661.36$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over	52c	519.23$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+5.4wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked Under	36c	515.59$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.59	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+5.3wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under	46c	442.4$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.11	223	36.8%82 W · 141 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Over	54c	400.2$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.8	1,117	48.8%545 W · 572 L	+40.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa2f…c08dbacked Over	52c	307.69$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under	68c	244.42$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.26	967	49.8%482 W · 485 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Under	39c	220$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.2	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	574	49.7%285 W · 289 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over	55c	211.24$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.77	112	57.1%64 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb603…c701backed Over	52c	202.5$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.3	161	48.4%78 W · 83 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	56c	200.92$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.42	2,540	39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L	-79.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under	46c	191.3$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.3	205	51.7%106 W · 99 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over	61c	187.16$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-5.5wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-37%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed Over	54c	184.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.78	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6af…f9cdbacked Under	40c	125$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under	49c	123.53$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	166	54.2%90 W · 76 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over	10c	119.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under	37c	116.72$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.53	160	47.5%76 W · 84 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Over	51c	114.94$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.66	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under	38c	112.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.05	347	56.5%196 W · 151 L	+12.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbc6…464cbacked Under	74c	110.7$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.31	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-7.9wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Over	73c	102.69$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.01	381	54.3%207 W · 174 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d0cfbacked Over	54c	101$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	629	49.9%314 W · 315 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Over	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	102	31.4%32 W · 70 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	46c	95.61$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.83	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…bf3fbacked Over	56c	88.66$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ae…058fbacked Under	48c	79.99$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under	42c	71.41$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.42	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over	60c	70.86$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.51	255	51.4%131 W · 124 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Under	43c	63.08$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	239	46%110 W · 129 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Under	37c	59.98$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.79	454	44.3%201 W · 253 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc51…44d9backed Under	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Over	50c	49.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	127	43.3%55 W · 72 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over	33c	49.96$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	249	59.8%149 W · 100 L	+18.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c94…6ba9backed Under	38c	47.37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.15per pick	27cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Over	46c	47.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	233	64.4%150 W · 83 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Under	43c	42.5$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.22	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Over	52c	40.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.06	396	52%206 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x046f…85b3backed Over	62c	40.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.42per pick	56cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfc0…4dfcbacked Under	39c	37.44$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.84	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f3…207ebacked Over	42c	36.07$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	43c	31.2$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.67	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc366…e150backed Over	63c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	648	46.5%301 W · 347 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Under	39c	29.52$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.9	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…f74cbacked Over	41c	28.15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	58cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	52c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	417	49.2%205 W · 212 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Under	49c	26.8$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	134	51.5%69 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc75…4efcbacked Over	57c	26.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Over	58c	25.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	47c	25.25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.49	163	46%75 W · 88 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafb5…07d2backed Over	63c	23.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-20%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c2a…907dbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…5fa9backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0384…3a68backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	66	25.8%17 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
First Blood in Game 3?Hanwha Life Esports won
First Blood in Game 4?Hanwha Life Esports won
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event