TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c94…6ba9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst F1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11544.3%51 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$17.43
France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.43
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$21.25
Egypt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$12.24
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.35
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+557%+$105.83
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.35
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$19.82
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.37
All 19 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.3
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$48.6
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.13
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$19.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.