F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01d1c1c09e47d96a472a03e498a223b1377e620325f247fac1d73f774c60704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Yes | 43c | 52,432$22,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,667.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 56c | 24,443$13,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,754.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 23,495$13,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,992.87 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 57c | 4,793$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.72 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3e26backed No | 41c | 3,225$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 59c | 2,336$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Yes | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,537$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.84 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 63c | 1,255$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.64 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed No | 35c | 1,108$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.97 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 58c | 1,018$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.67 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 42c | 1,011$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…944bbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed No | 45c | 998.46$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 47c | 904.5$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.01 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 44c | 863.64$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Yes | 61c | 817.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 39c | 703.56$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 56c | 698.51$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 54c | 602.81$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.29 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 43c | 602$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.07 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 56c | 598.71$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.42 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Yes | 56c | 531.81$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 54c | 482.01$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.01 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 63c | 449.44$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 10c | 406.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 42c | 358$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…036bbacked Yes | 44c | 337.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 52c | 314.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 37c | 283.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked Yes | 22c | 267.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 47c | 254.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 48c | 241.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes | 45c | 235.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked No | 57c | 230$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 55c | 224.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 56c | 215.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 192.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 51c | 176.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2389…5158backed Yes | 63c | 169.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 31c | 154$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 140.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 38c | 99.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 72c | 96.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 42c | 96.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…2e36backed Yes | 67c | 73.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 59c | 65.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 67c | 56.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…3be2backed No | 57c | 52.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…902bbacked Yes | 48c | 51.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…a269backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…c6c7backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 65c | 44.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…b15ebacked Yes | 23c | 44.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…7242backed No | 53c | 43.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…3a06backed No | 34c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 73c | 38.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 34.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…6ba9backed Yes | 44c | 33.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 45c | 32.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 30.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…9325backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed No | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 46c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…e4ebbacked Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Yes | 59c | 22.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…38ccbacked Yes | 51c | 20.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Yes | 65c | 18.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…8d40backed Yes | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.