F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6b338a76925206d407d7903790467ff93fa441b971a2fa718a746384caf8615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c09…4073backed Yes | 1c | 7,841$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,728.96 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 74c | 3,687$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.83 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…fd0abacked Yes | 48c | 1,262$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 75c | 1,233$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.84 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 42c | 1,023$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 75c | 703.92$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…0332backed Yes | 12c | 700$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 672.42$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.28 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 53c | 561.85$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.35 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed No | 57c | 526.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked Yes | 25c | 501.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 57c | 499.35$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 58c | 422.83$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 58c | 357.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 57c | 267.35$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 43c | 255.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 69c | 254.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3e26backed Yes | 42c | 218.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3371backed Yes | 38c | 210.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 62c | 209.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 25c | 200.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…fda1backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 25c | 185.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2389…5158backed Yes | 31c | 183$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 179.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 158.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed No | 38c | 153$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 47c | 151.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 58c | 140.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed No | 38c | 127.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 75c | 113.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 50c | 110.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…a588backed Yes | 11c | 109.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 99.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 41c | 81.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 18cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…c6c7backed Yes | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…7242backed Yes | 48c | 63.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 75c | 56.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f10…fd78backed Yes | 26c | 56.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 63c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 57c | 53.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…590abacked Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…cf5bbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…7133backed Yes | 26c | 46.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 60c | 43.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes | 43c | 42.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 51c | 39.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 74c | 38.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked No | 57c | 38.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 52c | 32.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…0d51backed No | 62c | 31.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 30.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…9325backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…c524backed No | 66c | 23.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed No | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 73c | 18.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 70c | 18.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 62c | 16.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.