MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf35e102b0f88348a2a82c50a4e98eb202a98f4f4f6a611ff28dd396280862bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,999.99 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 70,000$36,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,600 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 29,986$15,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,393.44 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 24,254$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,914.66 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 20,704$10,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,950.63 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 20,000$12,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,261.75 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 18,655$11,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.31 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 14,225$7,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,470.41 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 14,203$6,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,851.86 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 12,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.99 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 10,832$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.92 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 8,169$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.8 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 8,156$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.77 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 7,991$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.43 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 7,804$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.09 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 6,812$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.85 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 6,372$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 6,189$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.66 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 5,835$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.27 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 5,682$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.35 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 5,079$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 4,457$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.81 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 4,018$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.99 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres | 0c | 3,769$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 3,759$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.23 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,743$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 3,714$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.62 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 3,204$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.78 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 3,107$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.5 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,724$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.72 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 2,562$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…707dbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,477$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 2,383$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.72 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 2,311$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.78 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,302$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 2,100$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.65 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,994$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.22 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,975$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.75 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 1,706$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,653$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.97 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,520$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.58 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,498$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.22 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,490$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,472$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.7 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 1,461$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,380$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,291$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…a35ebacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 1,232$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.35 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…a45cbacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 1,142$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,097$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.26 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,089$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.71 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 1,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,049$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.4 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,039$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.33 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 928.99$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.91 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 920.91$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 894.88$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked San Diego Padres | 9c | 844.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 838.96$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.45 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 804.23$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 798.74$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.39 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…2990backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 796.23$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 794.14$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 752.94$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.48 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 725.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 713.58$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 699.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 689.62$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.02 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 673.29$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.29 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 646.57$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.48 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 634.13$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.85 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 623.08$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.08 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 597.64$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 593.28$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.71 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 580.24$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 580$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 550.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 519.22$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.23 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 500$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 488.72$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 467$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 463.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.57 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-5.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.