F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x278cac29c40483249829d88ae1888b176c8f529c6e852e4b2106897f04734730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Yes | 49c | 995.3$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 44c | 542.57$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.19 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 43c | 514.28$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.14 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 51c | 392.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…437fbacked No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 56c | 275.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 72c | 265.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…0432backed No | 67c | 227.51$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…b9ddbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 55c | 214.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 21c | 191.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 182.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 70c | 178.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 32c | 145.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 30c | 136.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 35c | 132.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 35c | 121.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…928fbacked No | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…653abacked Yes | 46c | 85.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 32c | 85.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 54c | 84.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 73.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 58.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 64c | 58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…0427backed No | 70c | 56.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 39c | 54.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…0d5cbacked No | 53c | 50.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 36c | 49.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 29c | 48.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ba…97d0backed No | 73c | 45.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 39c | 45.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…f11dbacked No | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…acebbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 30c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…6ba9backed No | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 46c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +247.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…cfbdbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 34c | 31.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a29ebacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed No | 74c | 25.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc702…b3fcbacked Yes | 39c | 25.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…7242backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 70c | 21.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 61c | 21.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34df…18b0backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b5…b229backed Yes | 72c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.