F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61fc0e68429db552f2964d198b5d11c1dcebad78c6bca8524550d6426a357454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d08…7571backed Yes | 10c | 974.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…437fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 13c | 399.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 11c | 370.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 8c | 263.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 8c | 223.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 14c | 215.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 9c | 207.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 11c | 167.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 17c | 165$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…7ee3backed Yes | 14c | 156.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 121.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…429fbacked Yes | 11c | 108.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed No | 65c | 90.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 80c | 60.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 56c | 36.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 73c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…82a5backed No | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…82f1backed Yes | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?this page
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.