F1 · resolved market
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad360f5b8d5ad49582f2cee116571172b0900ddbf20bbbff840e14d61827475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0100…63f9backed No | 40c | 2,057$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 65c | 1,908$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.44 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 35c | 1,347$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.6 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,258$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.77 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 51c | 1,052$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.42 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 36c | 950$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 39c | 825$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 816.39$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.9 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 67c | 768.75$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.45 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 40c | 762.34$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.24 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 42c | 441.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 63c | 356.76$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 69c | 282.34$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 22c | 185$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 136.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 63c | 94.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 59c | 89.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…e547backed Yes | 67c | 71.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c21…bf3cbacked Yes | 71c | 69.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…1187backed No | 22c | 67.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…429fbacked Yes | 62c | 67.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 34c | 57.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 50c | 52.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…5475backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec5…3a56backed No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…df6cbacked Yes | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b96…5f21backed No | 34c | 44.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 34c | 44.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 42c | 35.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe151…df08backed Yes | 33c | 33.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…f11dbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed No | 39c | 30.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 36c | 29.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…70d9backed Yes | 44c | 27.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Yes | 79c | 27.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…555cbacked Yes | 68c | 27.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 69c | 25.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…198cbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…8821backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…82f1backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…82a5backed No | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…29a2backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.