F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x981d063741143d41de63ebc5f1888eae60fc839dc0015285312ae46c7c5563d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 25c | 2,472$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.57 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 75c | 2,289$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.7 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…2a61backed No | 79c | 2,261$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,835$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.84 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 26c | 1,810$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.65 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 26c | 1,480$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.17 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,340$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 25c | 1,011$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.63 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 25c | 984.38$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.28 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 26c | 830.19$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.16 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacb…ccc7backed Yes | 55c | 600$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed No | 12c | 557.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.15 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 75c | 437$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.15 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 74c | 410$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.52 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Yes | 43c | 394$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 31c | 382.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.72 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…0432backed Yes | 74c | 350.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 76c | 333$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 10c | 289.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 14c | 250$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 74c | 202.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.21 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed No | 27c | 180.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 73c | 172.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc702…b3fcbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 12c | 129.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Yes | 80c | 125.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 74c | 87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 72c | 70.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…6bf6backed Yes | 75c | 66.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 80c | 62.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…3182backed Yes | 79c | 50.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…a656backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…f2a5backed No | 23c | 45.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…ab4fbacked Yes | 74c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…4c66backed No | 31c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…acebbacked Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 78c | 28.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34df…18b0backed Yes | 56c | 26.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 76c | 21.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 64c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…c48ebacked Yes | 78c | 20.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 75c | 18.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 73c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…3e02backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…406cbacked Yes | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.