TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Team Secret , Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,051,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,202,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,051,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 917 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Secret 60c45,876$27,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,597.1996048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Sentinels54c36,690$19,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,994.243754.1%20 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+45.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Sentinels41c27,027$11,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,823.71,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Sentinels39c22,318$8,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,612.191,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Secret 59c21,017$12,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,381.5125546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sentinels46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.91,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Team Secret 58c17,117$10,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,012.667349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Sentinels41c16,666$6,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,832.9453750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Sentinels46c16,223$7,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,740.531,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Team Secret 61c15,257$9,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,306.668651.2%44 W · 42 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sentinels46c14,660$6,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,892.2890348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…5e4fbacked Sentinels40c14,110$5,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,465.713043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Sentinels39c13,722$5,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,412.4567760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed Team Secret 31c12,266$3,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,837.4818132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Team Secret 25c12,029$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.9510449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Sentinels44c11,554$5,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,426.6757957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Secret 43c11,321$4,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,855.11,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked Team Secret 58c11,000$6,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3808060%48 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,90091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Sentinels47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels42c9,609$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,526.21,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Team Secret 60c9,287$5,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,572.298949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Sentinels39c9,133$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,570.9251146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Secret 66c8,758$5,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,752.641,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Sentinels37c8,636$3,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,440.9920546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Secret 78c8,032$6,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,243.4548149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05e…4394backed Team Secret 69c8,000$5,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,532.2314360.8%87 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec8…3a77backed Team Secret 58c7,999$4,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,653.319542.1%40 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Team Secret 63c7,900$4,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9776556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Sentinels31c7,046$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,865.118933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Sentinels46c7,036$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,816.7654756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Team Secret 60c7,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20013561.5%83 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Sentinels45c6,788$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.631,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Team Secret 58c6,574$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.9213543%58 W · 77 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Sentinels39c6,410$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.249941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Sentinels40c6,250$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7509556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Secret 60c6,093$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.0129443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Sentinels57c6,093$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.659265.2%60 W · 32 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Sentinels39c5,365$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.621,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Team Secret 30c5,286$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.4489347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb66…1cf4backed Team Secret 20c5,233$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a3…5336backed Sentinels38c5,110$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,169.696663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ebd…b66abacked Sentinels73c5,108$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.224564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed Sentinels41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95027637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4840…41f3backed Team Secret 1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50623.2%2 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-77.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Team Secret 59c4,911$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.6414553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Team Secret 59c4,766$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.2717439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Sentinels58c4,529$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.3785742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Secret 53c4,514$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.6387844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Secret 27c4,440$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.081,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed Team Secret 53c4,290$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.76844.1%30 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Secret 49c4,125$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.385836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Team Secret 60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4008146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels39c4,000$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.762,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Sentinels40c3,996$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.751,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Sentinels36c3,900$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.9353355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Team Secret 39c3,822$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.5464247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44cd…473bbacked Team Secret 79c3,797$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Sentinels22c3,779$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.2721049.5%104 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed Sentinels37c3,770$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.082748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Team Secret 28c3,666$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.0197427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dec…faa0backed Team Secret 24c3,573$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8505632.1%18 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Secret 59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06559554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Sentinels55c3,448$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.7840651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed Sentinels25c3,313$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.3244120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked Team Secret 70c3,250$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.2527745.8%127 W · 150 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Sentinels40c3,221$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.0825332%81 W · 172 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Secret 63c3,175$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010839.8%43 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Team Secret 60c3,167$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90017729.9%53 W · 124 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Team Secret 61c3,073$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86117647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Team Secret 43c3,000$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.51,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Team Secret 60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80016258%94 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…701fbacked Team Secret 9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012446%57 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Team Secret 49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9911435.1%40 W · 74 L+0.5wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…00e9backed Team Secret 6c2,991$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.461175.1%6 W · 111 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed Team Secret 55c2,909$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60012236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Sentinels42c2,857$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.1424554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…1c7cbacked Team Secret 43c2,821$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2205541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed Team Secret 75c2,773$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.4416162.1%100 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Secret 32c2,768$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.572,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Secret 7c2,670$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.87869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Secret 54c2,616$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.646741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Team Secret 61c2,598$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.6560354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ac…f9b7backed Team Secret 59c2,525$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.013847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcea4…be49backed Team Secret 6c2,471$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5112717.3%22 W · 105 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Team Secret 58c2,440$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.472142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked Sentinels41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.022934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Team Secret 59c2,399$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40423938.1%91 W · 148 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Secret 56c2,329$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124a…3741backed Sentinels70c2,265$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.9211438.6%44 W · 70 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeef…92b7backed Team Secret 48c2,200$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.9915541.3%64 W · 91 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Secret 48c2,199$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.681,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Secret 45c2,195$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.371,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Sentinels41c2,082$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.675837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Sentinels31c2,021$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.4242149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Team Secret 60c2,020$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2121,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Secret 11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Team Secret 79c2,000$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.967276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Sentinels40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb398…4a9fbacked Team Secret 74c2,000$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.991450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.