TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hanwha Life Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Hanwha Life Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,704 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Hanwha Life Esports77c25,213$19,370 inWon+$5,842.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Bilibili Gaming23c20,090$4,603 inLost-$4,602.7470641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb02e…25e5backed Bilibili Gaming29c4,791$1,378 inLost-$1,377.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked Bilibili Gaming5c869.99$41 inLost-$41.212524%30 W · 95 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Bilibili Gaming49c535.82$262 inLost-$261.717642%74 W · 102 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Hanwha Life Esports70c500$351 inWon+$1498336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hanwha Life Esports49c474.88$233 inWon+$242.193,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Bilibili Gaming51c474.88$242 inLost-$242.1943640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Hanwha Life Esports40c273.47$110 inWon+$163.546952.2%245 W · 224 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Bilibili Gaming20c260.64$52 inLost-$52.1394134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Hanwha Life Esports51c239.8$122 inWon+$117.52,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Bilibili Gaming22c227.27$50 inLost-$5028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Hanwha Life Esports48c222.49$106 inWon+$116.7832442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked Hanwha Life Esports52c213.75$111 inWon+$102.934553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Bilibili Gaming28c200$57 inLost-$571,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Bilibili Gaming40c200$80 inLost-$8067853.4%362 W · 316 L+25.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Bilibili Gaming36c188.78$69 inLost-$68.628852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1d…311bbacked Bilibili Gaming53c188.68$100 inLost-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Bilibili Gaming48c180.7$87 inLost-$86.7468049%333 W · 347 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Hanwha Life Esports61c173.74$107 inWon+$66.9738148%183 W · 198 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Bilibili Gaming31c110$34 inLost-$3474637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Hanwha Life Esports51c98.04$50 inWon+$48.045651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Bilibili Gaming25c69.99$18 inLost-$17.74134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dbf…a9ffbacked Hanwha Life Esports51c57.75$29 inWon+$28.33759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e79…83eebacked Hanwha Life Esports80c52.5$42 inWon+$10.657323.3%17 W · 56 L-10.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-56.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Hanwha Life Esports73c48.02$35 inWon+$12.799655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Hanwha Life Esports48c45.87$22 inWon+$23.8562949.9%314 W · 315 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Hanwha Life Esports66c40$26 inWon+$13.786051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fc…96cdbacked Bilibili Gaming52c32.69$17 inLost-$17812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bilibili Gaming51c25$13 inLost-$12.751,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49f…587ebacked Hanwha Life Esports80c15$12 inWon+$31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.