TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,198 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f1a…bc89backed Over76c32,895$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,894.74560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked Over76c25,603$19,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,144.727440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under24c23,000$5,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,518.7721347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Under24c22,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,28025244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under24c15,343$3,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,609.9423948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under24c12,802$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,086.391,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under24c10,006$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.21,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.971,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under24c7,799$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.761,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over76c7,665$5,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.61,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over76c7,383$5,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.8314852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over75c7,054$5,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.231,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under18c6,231$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.7869741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Over76c5,789$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.4725268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over49c5,555$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.8532442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over76c5,533$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.8946050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over75c4,500$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1255851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over76c4,381$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.366858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under31c4,011$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22917647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Under25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Over76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.371070%7 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under24c3,757$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.641,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under24c3,298$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.629862.2%61 W · 37 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3239…8da3backed Under21c3,281$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.925442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Under24c3,100$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74448742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9078…fb78backed Under24c3,078$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.125040%20 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…64b4backed Under45c2,474$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.192060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over48c2,282$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.4337948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over71c2,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5908336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over75c1,973$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3337640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Under24c1,939$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.3411446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over78c1,753$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.0312326%32 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Under48c1,637$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.686048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over76c1,375$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.0966058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under24c1,364$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9620143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Over78c1,328$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.6712869.5%89 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Over76c1,321$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.2418863.3%119 W · 69 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e23…1c3dbacked Over76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.797859%46 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over76c1,305$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2690537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over76c1,266$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under24c1,209$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2422336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0a…8527backed Under54c1,179$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Under5c1,093$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.26166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over76c1,040$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7112757.5%73 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7171…697abacked Over75c1,001$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3416547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under26c1,000$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25516047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under24c994.82$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.762,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over75c990$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2528643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44cd…473bbacked Over77c909.09$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.092352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under23c888.5$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.361,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Over77c806.55$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.799250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Over76c786.73$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd5…2754backed Under38c765.99$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.944231%13 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over75c756.87$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9446248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb460…6e64backed Over67c741.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.419755.7%54 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b8…3c05backed Over76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.894257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over73c627.04$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4338555.1%212 W · 173 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over75c611.93$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.082,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Over76c604.78$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.159966.7%66 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaaa…b0c3backed Under24c542.64$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-74.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under25c528.37$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3762451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over75c526.71$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1825447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d72…2d0bbacked Over76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3212052.5%63 W · 57 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4825065.6%164 W · 86 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7a…1839backed Over77c516$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12534448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over71c472.08$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7446452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over76c462.87$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.091,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under52c449.86$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7422265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over75c432.35$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.617248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over52c400$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.511257.1%64 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Over76c388.63$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2716456.7%93 W · 71 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd316…c6bcbacked Over76c388.39$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.39650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over77c385.36$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6349346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under25c383.83$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.961,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3938…26d7backed Over76c370.13$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.832744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ef4…e76bbacked Under24c367$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.088060%48 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Over76c361.84$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8413354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under38c358.25$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.221,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe22d…878fbacked Over76c357.41$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.788556.5%48 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over60c353.73$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.61,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over48c326.06$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.82544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e75…bd6fbacked Over77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Under24c319.67$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2851247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Over76c315.77$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.788749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6d9…ecf3backed Over77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Over76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7233254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d2…342ebacked Over75c299.67$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.922934.5%10 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Under28c299.64$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.93417.6%6 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a0d…4513backed Over67c299.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa4…e8e1backed Under25c284.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Under24c276.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6668253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Under30c263.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.24850%24 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7503…aa2bbacked Over76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under42c262.76$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.212,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Under26c257.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7637950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over66c249.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.992,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.