Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f08c119fe659ec4f66ec13d020f6409897702aa916b7d29096e47917c29a63f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Hanwha Life Esports, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 16,815$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.86 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 13,447$10,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.67 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 8,191$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.11 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…4ef1backed Hanwha Life Esports | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 2,376$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.61 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 2,200$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 1,451$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.61 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Hanwha Life Esports | 21c | 1,414$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…3455backed Hanwha Life Esports | 19c | 1,085$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…6114backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 1,044$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.76 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…c3debacked Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 992$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hanwha Life Esports | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…e76bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Hanwha Life Esports | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Hanwha Life Esports | 21c | 449.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…6328backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 324.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 270$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 266.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Hanwha Life Esports | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Hanwha Life Esports | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 236.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…85b1backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 203.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…732abacked Hanwha Life Esports | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 153.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 149.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 146.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…f625backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 125.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 389 | 53.2%207 W · 182 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…b9c9backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…18c9backed Hanwha Life Esports | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Hanwha Life Esports | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Hanwha Life Esports | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…cae0backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 419 | 47%197 W · 222 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 82.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 78.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…5919backed Hanwha Life Esports | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6923…7592backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 66.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 267 | 54.7%146 W · 121 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…2fddbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 21c | 54.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 53.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…95e1backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 50.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc1…99bbbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…0738backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…fa76backed Hanwha Life Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…ab58backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 34.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 17.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…b223backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 4?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.