TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brasov: Maks Kasnikowski vs Zsombor Piros

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zsombor Pirosof Maks Kasnikowski, Zsombor Piros
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Maks Kasnikowski52c19,553$10,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,075.258,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x658e…d758backed Zsombor Piros44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,364.095242.3%22 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Maks Kasnikowski37c5,459$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.8874439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Zsombor Piros65c4,599$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.274,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Maks Kasnikowski36c2,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Zsombor Piros59c2,693$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.214,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Maks Kasnikowski52c2,588$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.723,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Zsombor Piros63c2,370$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zsombor Piros78c1,750$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.3511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zsombor Piros60c1,573$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.448,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Zsombor Piros65c1,413$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.854,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Zsombor Piros56c1,129$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.832,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Zsombor Piros38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6338557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Maks Kasnikowski34c882.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.975,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Maks Kasnikowski40c805.23$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.464,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Zsombor Piros63c700.99$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3825349%124 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Maks Kasnikowski24c684.11$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9196945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Zsombor Piros66c603.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6562457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Maks Kasnikowski34c599.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.827,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Zsombor Piros62c574.12$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.031,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maks Kasnikowski35c481.98$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.219,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5da…ff1dbacked Maks Kasnikowski33c411.75$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.991827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Maks Kasnikowski34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.152,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Zsombor Piros60c331.49$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.961,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Zsombor Piros42c318.6$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7924856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Maks Kasnikowski45c306.27$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.71,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Maks Kasnikowski34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Zsombor Piros65c299.67$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.893,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Maks Kasnikowski34c292.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3692237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Maks Kasnikowski35c286.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014133.3%47 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Maks Kasnikowski34c270$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zsombor Piros69c267.22$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.888,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Zsombor Piros63c253$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.611,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Maks Kasnikowski41c242.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.541,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Zsombor Piros57c242.26$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.472,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Zsombor Piros66c237.18$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6433462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Zsombor Piros46c204.35$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3527753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Zsombor Piros63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Maks Kasnikowski36c199.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.541,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Zsombor Piros51c199.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7127836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Zsombor Piros49c195.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.351,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maks Kasnikowski45c191.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.516,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Zsombor Piros48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.624851.2%127 W · 121 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Maks Kasnikowski43c176.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.495,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Zsombor Piros56c175.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.799244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Zsombor Piros39c172.22$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.812,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Zsombor Piros60c170.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.011,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Maks Kasnikowski20c159.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7938141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Zsombor Piros66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5233647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Maks Kasnikowski35c148.34$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9216755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Maks Kasnikowski34c131.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8432546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Zsombor Piros57c131.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9560452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1f…797abacked Zsombor Piros46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.432437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Zsombor Piros48c124.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5779646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fb…141bbacked Zsombor Piros53c113.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.25949.2%29 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Zsombor Piros62c109.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.236,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…d8dcbacked Maks Kasnikowski35c108.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Zsombor Piros43c103.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.571,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Zsombor Piros37c94.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.593,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Zsombor Piros57c84.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4422059.5%131 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Maks Kasnikowski34c84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5628237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Zsombor Piros60c83.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6772651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Zsombor Piros46c82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.281,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312e…6a52backed Maks Kasnikowski35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Maks Kasnikowski52c79.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.186,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Zsombor Piros46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.093,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3192…a121backed Zsombor Piros66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.764161%25 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Zsombor Piros67c74.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9317158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80b3…a528backed Maks Kasnikowski35c74.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Maks Kasnikowski34c73.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Zsombor Piros54c73.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.981,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Zsombor Piros50c70.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0315552.3%81 W · 74 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Maks Kasnikowski28c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Maks Kasnikowski33c68.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.491,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Maks Kasnikowski54c65.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.643,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Zsombor Piros50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.191,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Maks Kasnikowski18c62.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.273941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Zsombor Piros62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.835457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Maks Kasnikowski35c57.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Maks Kasnikowski42c57.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.022,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Zsombor Piros35c57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0525336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Zsombor Piros39c56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2297852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Zsombor Piros61c55.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.491,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Zsombor Piros45c52.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.551,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Maks Kasnikowski39c51.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1124748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Zsombor Piros63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d1…2459backed Zsombor Piros66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8270…d853backed Zsombor Piros66c49.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7497…18cebacked Maks Kasnikowski42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zsombor Piros76c47.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.326,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6343…3d22backed Zsombor Piros66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Zsombor Piros52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.692352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Maks Kasnikowski33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Maks Kasnikowski45c43.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3387060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Zsombor Piros52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.682,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Zsombor Piros51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.931,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac50…d728backed Zsombor Piros66c40.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8228343.8%124 W · 159 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4480…1f18backed Zsombor Piros66c39.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Maks Kasnikowski34c37.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6839035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Zsombor Piros39c36.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.972,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.