TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8c2…3048backed No39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.9819148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes60c2,135$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.777941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No47c1,922$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.932,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No39c1,390$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.6320955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24db…50babacked Yes61c1,381$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.332157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes61c1,304$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.4440649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes46c1,297$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3176…b725backed Yes59c1,242$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Yes60c1,078$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.813550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc491…4d61backed Yes39c982.61$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…7e6fbacked Yes61c900.03$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes40c828.41$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.7119929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No40c816$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.621958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No65c680$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2381,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes54c559.35$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.244650%23 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdadb…57f1backed Yes35c525$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.531050%5 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+113%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No39c504$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4425638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Yes42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9919723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b46…db90backed Yes37c499.98$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.991625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1914245.8%65 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes58c469.99$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.5934151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes42c399.9$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16918460.9%112 W · 72 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No62c324.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0423644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No61c312.09$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.751,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No54c300.53$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.582,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No39c299.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18247648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No61c286$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.548842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2d…0a9fbacked Yes40c252.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010443.3%45 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No43c252.72$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.225244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes61c237.18$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.658926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes37c236.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6335033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No58c236$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0212046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes54c229.35$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.682,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc4…2898backed Yes54c223.15$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203040%12 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa5…4cfebacked Yes58c213$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes20c206.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3621239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No60c205.83$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0830241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes10c180$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No42c178.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1792038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes60c177$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.25550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No60c168.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.294346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes60c163.4$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0413556.3%76 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No45c155$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.214055.7%78 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No40c152.75$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6523750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No51c135$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes49c125.22$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1715445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…5961backed Yes61c125.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.814930.6%15 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes42c114.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0241231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.313051.5%67 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Yes56c108$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4815655.8%87 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No51c105$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4534554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6712735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae6…c867backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3323245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc3…1039backed No39c99.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+413.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes61c98.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.824246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes60c97.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7211241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No57c94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4223543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No62c94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.628554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No56c91.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7725443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c91.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4014…0aa5backed Yes59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.14022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…a8b5backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012932.6%42 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes58c80.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3611255.4%62 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.68218.3%15 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked No40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4523943.5%104 W · 135 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No64c74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2717558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes33c70.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.265125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes60c61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.623960.7%145 W · 94 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No67c58.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.391,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No52c52.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2546047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No63c52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2415158.3%88 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Yes39c51.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cbc…26c6backed No39c51.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.195435.2%19 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x592c…47d8backed Yes59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307261.1%44 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes36c50.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1921837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.515942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c2…e2d9backed No40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed Yes44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228356.6%47 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7f…8373backed No40c46.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.828256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No61c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5522243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a47…e18abacked Yes56c44.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes35c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.476445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes42c41.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4142737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No42c41.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0218139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f6…ad6dbacked Yes61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e5c…70b4backed Yes62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No60c38.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3914858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Yes59c36.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.367742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…620bbacked Yes60c33.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x288e…eb48backed Yes60c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Yes60c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88657%49 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b1…9440backed Yes37c32.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f9…987fbacked Yes61c31.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.222356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.