Fifa International · resolved market
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83f252d9a00cdc0462e958eba2506cb3a28c505b29101aa04353cdbd5ff0666a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.98 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,135$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.77 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 1,922$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.93 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 39c | 1,390$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.63 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…50babacked Yes | 61c | 1,381$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,304$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.44 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,297$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.9 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…b725backed Yes | 59c | 1,242$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,078$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…4d61backed Yes | 39c | 982.61$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…7e6fbacked Yes | 61c | 900.03$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 40c | 828.41$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.71 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 40c | 816$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 65c | 680$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 54c | 559.35$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.24 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…57f1backed Yes | 35c | 525$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 39c | 504$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.44 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…db90backed Yes | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 58c | 469.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.59 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 42c | 399.9$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 62c | 324.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 312.09$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 54c | 300.53$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 39c | 299.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 61c | 286$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…0a9fbacked Yes | 40c | 252.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 43c | 252.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 61c | 237.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 37c | 236.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 58c | 236$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 54c | 229.35$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…2898backed Yes | 54c | 223.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa5…4cfebacked Yes | 58c | 213$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 20c | 206.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 60c | 205.83$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 42c | 178.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes | 60c | 177$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 60c | 168.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 60c | 163.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 45c | 155$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 40c | 152.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 49c | 125.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 61c | 125.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 114.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 56c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…c867backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…1039backed No | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +413.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes | 61c | 98.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 60c | 97.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 57c | 94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 56c | 91.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 91.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…0aa5backed Yes | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…a8b5backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes | 58c | 80.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…56f8backed Yes | 33c | 70.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 60c | 61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 239 | 60.7%145 W · 94 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 58.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 52.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Yes | 39c | 51.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…26c6backed No | 39c | 51.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…47d8backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 50.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c2…e2d9backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…8373backed No | 40c | 46.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…e18abacked Yes | 56c | 44.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 42c | 41.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 42c | 41.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…ad6dbacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…70b4backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 38.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 59c | 36.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…620bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…eb48backed Yes | 60c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…9440backed Yes | 37c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…987fbacked Yes | 61c | 31.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.