Fifa International · resolved market
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95cef0903ec1497236092923c66eae8ef33f4c4067cf8382193155c7455d87f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 34c | 3,070$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.99 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 65c | 1,127$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…a320backed No | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 33c | 578.74$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 34c | 566.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…db90backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e6…cdf4backed Yes | 42c | 470.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 68c | 390$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…3c4cbacked No | 66c | 374.24$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 62c | 372.46$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 345.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 66c | 275.9$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 61c | 255.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 64c | 228$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 30c | 223.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 67c | 211.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 71c | 149.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…2380backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed No | 69c | 108.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…dbb1backed Yes | 47c | 105.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ad…6bc2backed Yes | 31c | 102.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 34c | 97.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 57c | 95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked No | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 33c | 84.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…9d9dbacked Yes | 36c | 83.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…9440backed Yes | 40c | 61.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 60c | 58.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…e552backed No | 65c | 57.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 34c | 43.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 29c | 35.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…1159backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 65c | 32.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…8d7bbacked Yes | 34c | 30.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 63c | 29.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 66c | 28.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 55c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…38c7backed No | 66c | 25.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…c4e3backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5f…2e6abacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 19.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 66c | 16.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked No | 64c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.