Fifa International · resolved market
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36ba252fcb9016af5a47f215ab06527a5c0317583f6a0bdf996d2942f1f9630d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 25c | 2,701$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.89 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 75c | 2,285$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,054$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.92 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 57c | 1,612$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.91 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 24c | 1,501$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.73 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 77c | 1,468$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.35 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 74c | 1,350$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.48 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed No | 25c | 1,214$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.03 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ae97backed Yes | 80c | 1,198$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.26 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 69c | 1,149$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…8978backed Yes | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 26c | 999.84$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.96 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…37cabacked No | 26c | 999.81$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 2c | 805.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16a…92a8backed No | 27c | 732.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…b501backed Yes | 29c | 678.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.97 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…d087backed No | 25c | 619.32$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 28c | 585$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed No | 30c | 545$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 8c | 542.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.67 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…daeabacked No | 27c | 514.81$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…db90backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…57f1backed Yes | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 23c | 499.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…8482backed No | 26c | 495.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…dd70backed Yes | 73c | 491.27$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 32c | 465.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 73c | 457.6$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 75c | 451.57$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 26c | 440$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.6 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 14c | 421.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.22 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 24c | 416.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 44c | 407$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.21 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…a27abacked Yes | 18c | 402$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 77c | 391.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 26c | 386.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.35 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 367$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.59 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 57c | 340.68$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.93 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…65d8backed Yes | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 67c | 330.67$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.35 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…11f2backed Yes | 76c | 330.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 76c | 329$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 23c | 320.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 60c | 304.23$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…aed6backed Yes | 74c | 300.43$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 26c | 291.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed No | 28c | 288.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 44c | 272.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 26c | 260.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 39c | 252$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 60c | 231.35$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 226.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed Yes | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 9c | 176.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 73c | 171.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 30c | 166.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 15c | 165.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 23c | 164.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 75c | 160.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd8…ed38backed Yes | 69c | 158$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…caabbacked Yes | 19c | 156$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…153cbacked Yes | 77c | 153.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 149$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 9c | 140.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…356ebacked Yes | 74c | 136.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…85b8backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 18c | 129.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 70c | 125$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 15c | 120.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 77c | 116.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…dc39backed No | 42c | 115.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 25c | 115.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…593cbacked Yes | 18c | 113.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1049…8cc3backed No | 19c | 113.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 57c | 108$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…8725backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13f…485fbacked No | 27c | 101$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 101$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…c867backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…1039backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +413.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 70c | 98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 72c | 89.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 74c | 88.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…3d2dbacked Yes | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 74c | 88.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 75c | 86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…30eebacked Yes | 75c | 83.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…8847backed Yes | 29c | 75.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…5203backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 25c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed No | 24c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked No | 24c | 70.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 69.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.