TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x592c…47d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7261.1%44 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$17.51
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$6.85
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$39.94
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$7.59
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$12.82
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$40.43
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.22
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$70.26
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$19.91
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmanebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$7.41
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jonesbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Nottingham 2: Oliver Tarvet vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$20.14
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshawbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$3.86
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$12.04
Libema Open, Qualification: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Lin Zhubacked Lin Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$3.07
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizubacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49%+$7.84
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$12.82
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$4.49
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Pierluigi Basile · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wuxi: Jie Cui vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$3.04
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$30.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.