TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Talia Gibsonof Talia Gibson, Francesca Jones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$665,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$670,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Francesca Jones30c74,680$22,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,680.558,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Talia Gibson75c20,779$15,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.623452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Talia Gibson56c15,373$8,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,817.3562956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Francesca Jones48c12,763$6,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,156.7715859.5%94 W · 64 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Talia Gibson49c11,228$5,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,726.3711554.8%63 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Francesca Jones0c10,507$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.785420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b2…e055backed Talia Gibson53c9,746$5,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,610.981040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Francesca Jones46c9,246$4,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.3893140.4%376 W · 555 L-32.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Francesca Jones30c6,663$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.9842131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Talia Gibson76c4,322$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.3510159.4%60 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Talia Gibson59c3,178$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.669953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Francesca Jones53c3,018$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.311,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Francesca Jones42c2,938$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.722,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Francesca Jones80c2,642$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11344349%217 W · 226 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Francesca Jones40c2,595$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.9715530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Francesca Jones46c2,499$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1579,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Francesca Jones66c2,232$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.822,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Talia Gibson63c2,166$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.154,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Francesca Jones28c2,135$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.61,47435.1%518 W · 956 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Talia Gibson59c2,090$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.0735244.6%157 W · 195 L-20.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Talia Gibson65c1,987$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.9711963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Francesca Jones18c1,935$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.432,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Francesca Jones47c1,927$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.145,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a4e…1ba4backed Talia Gibson52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.083351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa09…b681backed Francesca Jones76c1,860$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4181275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+61.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Talia Gibson43c1,750$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.361,66752.8%881 W · 786 L+43.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Talia Gibson56c1,725$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.9171329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Francesca Jones26c1,626$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.591,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Francesca Jones50c1,570$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.864,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Talia Gibson47c1,424$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.4829454.8%161 W · 133 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Francesca Jones9c1,360$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.438911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Francesca Jones51c1,301$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.271,35438.3%518 W · 836 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Francesca Jones54c1,301$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.5410649.1%52 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Francesca Jones26c1,227$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1895050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Talia Gibson50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60047328.3%134 W · 339 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdcb…36c9backed Talia Gibson62c1,160$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.588530.6%26 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Francesca Jones70c1,026$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.7780153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Talia Gibson55c1,022$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.131337.1%116 W · 197 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Francesca Jones42c1,018$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.4342839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb74…1a99backed Francesca Jones9c999.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909630.2%29 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Francesca Jones28c999.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.712,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Talia Gibson60c952.75$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.234148.8%20 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Talia Gibson60c907.71$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.614,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Francesca Jones30c861.25$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3230235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Francesca Jones80c854$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.210250%51 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Francesca Jones26c841.51$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.841,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Francesca Jones49c802$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.1578953%418 W · 371 L+24.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Francesca Jones25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023130.3%70 W · 161 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Francesca Jones25c790.28$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.571,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e70…582fbacked Francesca Jones34c763.4$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602227.3%6 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Francesca Jones17c750.15$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.347716.9%13 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Talia Gibson68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2941645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Francesca Jones38c717.84$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7840235.8%144 W · 258 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Francesca Jones56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39254138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Francesca Jones44c696$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5685249.6%423 W · 429 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Talia Gibson28c617.27$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.954,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3054…055bbacked Francesca Jones16c603.13$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.513752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Francesca Jones25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Talia Gibson55c599.05$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.028,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x652f…bc41backed Francesca Jones79c585.19$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.761553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec28…8d7abacked Francesca Jones44c569.93$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7711230.4%34 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Francesca Jones25c555.52$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.455,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…43f6backed Francesca Jones46c542.15$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.663132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Francesca Jones66c507.58$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33545055.3%249 W · 201 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Francesca Jones25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Francesca Jones24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Francesca Jones50c499.67$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.54,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Talia Gibson79c499.37$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.531,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Francesca Jones19c489.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.145044%198 W · 252 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Francesca Jones46c486.53$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22535450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Talia Gibson68c485.72$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.991,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Talia Gibson52c477.81$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.3595935.5%340 W · 619 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesca Jones42c451.87$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.428,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Talia Gibson76c425$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210656.6%60 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Francesca Jones25c419.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8652557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Francesca Jones34c416.52$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.071,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Francesca Jones49c412.43$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.022,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Francesca Jones21c411.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2458539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Talia Gibson57c400$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701,84244.6%822 W · 1,020 L-15.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Talia Gibson77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928769%60 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f24…e803backed Francesca Jones76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011255.4%62 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb176…567cbacked Francesca Jones3c392.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9810067%67 W · 33 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Talia Gibson49c368.62$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.966,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Talia Gibson43c363.98$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4724856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Francesca Jones25c362.48$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6219626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Francesca Jones56c357.18$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.592,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Talia Gibson52c349.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3920865.9%137 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Talia Gibson71c335.24$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.377041.4%29 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Talia Gibson54c334.41$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.663144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Francesca Jones67c320.37$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.394,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Francesca Jones19c313.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4757522.1%127 W · 448 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Francesca Jones6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810232.4%33 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef77…c481backed Talia Gibson76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Talia Gibson40c299.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9951441.8%215 W · 299 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Talia Gibson31c294.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5883823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b79…e1e8backed Talia Gibson58c293.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.13850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Francesca Jones25c286$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.599049.4%489 W · 501 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Talia Gibson45c280.82$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4521244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Talia Gibson56c277.15$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf9…fc07backed Talia Gibson36c269.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8615046%69 W · 81 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.