Fifa International · resolved market
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa914ca22c2cea86cfb063f2e93ee1bc8d50b8b4ddfe53573483517d308a72a72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…e272backed Yes | 40c | 6,746$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.55 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 39c | 3,200$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 58c | 2,235$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.53 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 30c | 1,828$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.79 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 42c | 1,801$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.44 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 61c | 1,780$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.54 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…eb10backed No | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…51c7backed No | 59c | 1,656$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.29 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked No | 51c | 1,638$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.17 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 38c | 1,608$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.72 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 28c | 1,579$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.28 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,573$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.07 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…57f1backed Yes | 18c | 1,400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 76c | 1,363$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.98 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 66c | 1,326$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.09 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 1,320$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.3 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked No | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 21c | 1,077$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.78 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 38c | 897.6$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.89 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…4760backed No | 59c | 894.5$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 43c | 828.26$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.16 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…a65abacked Yes | 43c | 751.72$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 25c | 713.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.98 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked No | 59c | 653.51$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.57 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 597.09$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.35 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 17c | 589$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.53 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 12c | 578.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 5c | 578.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 68c | 514.68$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 28c | 500.47$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.08 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 74c | 424.88$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.18 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…1d71backed Yes | 26c | 412.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…d5eebacked Yes | 25c | 400.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…6bf8backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8534…34d2backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…c9e6backed No | 65c | 342.25$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Yes | 42c | 330.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.01 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.9wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +129%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 30c | 327.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.11 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edd…4edfbacked No | 65c | 296.86$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 285.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 279.4$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.83 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 23c | 277.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.93 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 14c | 276$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.68 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 275$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 21c | 263.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.11 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…2d9bbacked Yes | 39c | 256.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 39c | 244.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacc…9575backed Yes | 43c | 228.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…f765backed No | 44c | 228.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Yes | 68c | 220.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 24c | 215.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 48c | 179.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 24c | 173.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 48c | 170.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d94…3249backed No | 59c | 168.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebc…9b11backed No | 58c | 168.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 50c | 163.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 159.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 40c | 157.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 18c | 154.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 34c | 153.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 15c | 151.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c7f2backed No | 75c | 150$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 26c | 148.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 146.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 19c | 142.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x826a…b27cbacked Yes | 42c | 140.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 139$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 79c | 137$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked No | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 55c | 130.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…dd99backed Yes | 24c | 127.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…db49backed Yes | 25c | 118.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…5536backed Yes | 23c | 110.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 66c | 104.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 17c | 103.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 70c | 102$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 23c | 101.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…98f7backed Yes | 30c | 100.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…51dbbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…6a37backed Yes | 13c | 96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…2a53backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 40c | 94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 239 | 60.7%145 W · 94 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 76c | 93.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 58c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…7c52backed Yes | 37c | 81.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +129%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 66c | 79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…2a16backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…32b7backed No | 42c | 73.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…5d6dbacked Yes | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will France win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.