Fifa International · resolved market
Will France win the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58072ab3a8cdd291b6f7091510bed59f835a374bed783e958a5255c2b274bb65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 35c | 20,482$7,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,193.46 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 15,734$10,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.42 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 71c | 6,899$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.91 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 71c | 4,213$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.07 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 62c | 1,826$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.18 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 35c | 1,800$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 30c | 1,800$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.53 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 25c | 1,643$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,199$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.76 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 34c | 1,188$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.26 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 22c | 810.6$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 761.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.22 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 37c | 728.28$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…9637backed No | 62c | 680.65$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 23c | 675$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 62c | 650$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 69c | 644.06$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 24c | 639$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 79c | 608.88$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…a9e7backed Yes | 34c | 593.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 593$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 536$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Yes | 38c | 479.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.59 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed No | 80c | 442.64$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 6c | 441.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 26c | 433.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 38c | 400.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 399.86$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 62c | 394.66$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 65c | 370$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 361.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 336.12$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 34c | 315$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…6725backed Yes | 28c | 312.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 19c | 310$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611d…6cc5backed Yes | 24c | 307.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 22c | 306.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…a294backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 65c | 289.7$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e74…7b57backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 270$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 35c | 266.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 7c | 209.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21b…b449backed Yes | 19c | 207.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c7f2backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 16c | 191.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 71c | 185.79$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 76c | 157.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 24c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 68c | 149.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…88e7backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…8876backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 145.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 140.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 80c | 133.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 64c | 132.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf3…6683backed Yes | 38c | 123.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 64c | 121$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…6eafbacked Yes | 34c | 119.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac6…5fb4backed Yes | 34c | 118.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73fb…468dbacked Yes | 24c | 118.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…003ebacked No | 66c | 114.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 36c | 107.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…8b09backed Yes | 20c | 106.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 103.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 27c | 102.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 79c | 100.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…59e8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…d990backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9e…149ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…6a37backed No | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…de25backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 27c | 92.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…9ce4backed Yes | 35c | 84.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 37c | 84.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 79c | 82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…0cc8backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 64c | 79.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…8ef1backed Yes | 21c | 72.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…787bbacked Yes | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…cfc5backed Yes | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 68c | 63.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…eea8backed Yes | 33c | 59.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5c…0f24backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 66c | 57.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…55b6backed Yes | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win the World Cup?this page
- Will France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.