Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ddf801dc1082c989cf5b0f5c9d7332ab05df493bfeb2a2cfaa6c17b1a82ded7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,706 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	9c	5,203$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.25	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	9c	4,362$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.3	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes	23c	3,322$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.03	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	11c	2,797$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.59	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	7c	2,385$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.94	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…3eb1backed Yes	8c	2,342$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.62	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	7c	1,401$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.09	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed No	76c	1,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.5	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Yes	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Yes	24c	999.99$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	11c	905.06$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.6	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	16c	699.65$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.74	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x881e…70f8backed No	77c	673.48$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.9	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No	77c	608.88$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.04	151	58.3%88 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0afd…1cb4backed Yes	8c	519$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.52	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6eb…36fdbacked Yes	8c	480$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes	13c	422.41$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.25	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	16c	407.83$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.11	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes	9c	400$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	172	17.4%30 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	12c	399.68$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.56	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca22…2ee7backed Yes	24c	361$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.64	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+7.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	78c	336.12$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.5	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	9c	310.41$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.93	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5afc…2995backed Yes	8c	301.13$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.09	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96c5…4dd9backed Yes	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.05	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes	23c	299.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd67f…d9b3backed No	79c	252.94$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.94	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked Yes	6c	229.86$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.79	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes	21c	213.01$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.91	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d92…68e8backed Yes	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9adc…e7e5backed No	79c	193.24$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.79	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f6…663fbacked No	76c	192.79$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.27	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked Yes	24c	178$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.83	81	24.7%20 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes	19c	162.81$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.93	102	54.9%56 W · 46 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	132.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2317backed Yes	26c	129.95$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9f…7c52backed No	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b3…be48backed No	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	12c	103.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.41	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	20c	102.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	77c	100.7$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.16	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	20c	97.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	77c	95$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.85	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes	12c	92.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	157	47.8%75 W · 82 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes	25c	86.79$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.68	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	22c	83.49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.55	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	76c	82$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.86	121	50.4%61 W · 60 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4068…f40cbacked Yes	25c	78.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No	75c	75$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.75	350	35.7%125 W · 225 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes	24c	74.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.11	128	47.7%61 W · 67 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	21c	71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No	74c	62.82$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	76c	60$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc765…ef3bbacked No	77c	51.95$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x027a…ea13backed Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	24c	49.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	77c	46.3$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.88	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebd…a26fbacked No	76c	45$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde48…9dbebacked Yes	35c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	109	32.1%35 W · 74 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	74c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	208	62%129 W · 79 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	77c	38$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	101	64.4%65 W · 36 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	74c	32.4$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.42	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No	65c	32$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	62	27.4%17 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.04	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	75c	25.42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.35	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed No	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe450…91b9backed No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	54	70.4%38 W · 16 L	+7.8wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6cd6…64febacked No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	376	44.9%169 W · 207 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d63…0b0cbacked No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	64cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	78c	17$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.66	130	60.8%79 W · 51 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	76c	16.96$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.07	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	77c	15.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.55	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No	73c	14.81$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
Will France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes won
Will France win the World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event