TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7272…5d6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$61.43
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Uruguay leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.26
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Germany leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$176.68
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92%+$128.77
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonsecabacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.77
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Brasov: Henri Squire vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$38.12
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dartbacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Alicia Dudeneybacked Alicia Dudeney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brasov: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Franco Roncadellibacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.15
Milan: Alex Barrena vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Tatjana Mariabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon WTA: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Joblife vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Bbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.