Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8055bc00f8139bb13e004ca21967edec9a432342ab83a80828541393faa0eb2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $548,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $565,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $548,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 53c | 150,720$79,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,405.57 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 54c | 64,378$34,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,805.66 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 47c | 54,012$25,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,385.82 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 30,633$15,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,412.2 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 29,909$14,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,396.69 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 48c | 24,760$11,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,884.96 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 47c | 23,575$11,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,151.73 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Yes | 51c | 22,269$11,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,911.75 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 47c | 19,089$8,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,971.88 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 15,191$7,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,673.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 15,057$8,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,061.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…a698backed Yes | 48c | 14,603$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593.66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Yes | 52c | 13,804$7,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.82 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 51c | 13,682$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,721.69 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 52c | 11,666$6,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.68 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 47c | 8,963$4,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,212.65 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 51c | 8,783$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.47 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 47c | 7,254$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.64 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…dbc4backed No | 51c | 6,772$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 13c | 5,477$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.67 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 49c | 4,700$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.98 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 4,526$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 4,452$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.55 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Yes | 49c | 4,286$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.71 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 47c | 4,090$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.75 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 4,066$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.26 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 49c | 3,952$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.84 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked No | 50c | 3,896$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.04 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 49c | 3,794$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.48 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes | 50c | 3,788$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.24 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Yes | 50c | 3,615$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.59 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 3c | 3,201$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 46c | 2,729$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.03 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 48c | 2,469$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.25 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…45c1backed Yes | 52c | 2,219$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 49c | 2,141$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.05 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked Yes | 54c | 1,818$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.61 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,767$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.67 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 50c | 1,719$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.54 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,516$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.9 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…a109backed Yes | 47c | 1,494$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.7 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 1,474$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.52 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 50c | 1,405$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.1 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes | 50c | 1,329$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.5 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 1,217$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.59 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed No | 49c | 1,158$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.51 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 1,121$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.06 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Yes | 51c | 1,099$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.28 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 6c | 1,080$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed No | 50c | 1,043$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.38 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 53c | 1,025$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.53 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…59dbbacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7714backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 49c | 970.51$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.96 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…2f56backed Yes | 53c | 950$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 48c | 937.75$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked No | 49c | 893.88$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…d012backed Yes | 52c | 837$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 45c | 821.56$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.56 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 48c | 813.77$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.67 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x729b…1b33backed Yes | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 49c | 716$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.84 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…6049backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 52c | 685.93$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.16 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…cf79backed No | 10c | 679.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 52c | 653.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 52c | 628.22$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.14 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa3…bd55backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 48c | 599.38$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 51c | 596.08$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.08 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 48c | 580.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.32 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 50c | 570$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 530.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.34 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 530.68$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…a65bbacked Yes | 51c | 524.57$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…0cfabacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…3899backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +1,100%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay leading at halftime?this page
- Cabo Verde leading at halftime?No won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.