Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648138aadcca2070222deba2f8234425dd63970c336c79945065dcd341a779c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 23,927$7,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,933.6 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 21,857$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 42c | 6,683$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.93 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 40c | 4,898$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.3 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 4,548$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 33c | 4,504$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 19c | 4,173$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.58 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 4,063$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.61 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 8c | 3,382$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.21 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 46c | 3,102$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.02 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 8c | 3,058$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.82 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 18c | 2,757$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.12 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 61c | 2,729$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.01 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 9c | 2,444$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.44 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.65 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 1,945$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.8 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.65 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 8c | 1,555$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.98 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 32c | 1,554$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.17 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 9c | 1,544$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.09 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1743backed Yes | 40c | 1,321$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 7c | 1,292$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.63 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 69 | 10.1%7 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 6c | 1,099$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.66 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 39c | 992.65$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.13 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…66f1backed Yes | 49c | 851.18$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.74 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78c…e12cbacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 41c | 629.27$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed No | 59c | 619.66$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.06 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 35c | 555.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.72 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 11c | 526$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.14 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 10c | 440$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 59c | 400.42$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.02 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 71c | 389.94$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.33 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Yes | 10c | 388.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +327.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed No | 11c | 387.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.08 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13ca…1e53backed Yes | 30c | 366.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 356.83$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 8c | 354.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.16 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 17c | 337.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 70c | 301.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 299.39$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 59c | 287.14$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 47c | 280.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 46c | 263.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 40c | 254.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked No | 10c | 244$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…076ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 39c | 235.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…6438backed Yes | 24c | 234.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 71c | 230.84$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 5c | 230.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 28c | 218.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Yes | 41c | 214.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed No | 59c | 210$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 73c | 205.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…2a84backed Yes | 41c | 204.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 194.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 78c | 194.08$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…4b74backed Yes | 38c | 154.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…116dbacked Yes | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 15c | 143.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 64c | 142.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 16c | 139.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 47c | 122.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…97babacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…406dbacked Yes | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa2…3620backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 57c | 111.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…7cc5backed Yes | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 58c | 98.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 30c | 89.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…e1d5backed Yes | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…8f0dbacked Yes | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…1cd1backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 40c | 66.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 15c | 66.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 58c | 65.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…a130backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?this page
- Cabo Verde leading at halftime?No won
- Uruguay leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.