Fifa International · resolved market
Germany leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8b6a753602690899932a4df8664a2d0edf1083f442dd0fc78fc2cb2256f1cd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,218,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,236,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,218,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1da…fefabacked No | 48c | 420,089$202,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217,446.96 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 46c | 283,877$131,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,003.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 52c | 176,767$91,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,221.45 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 110,645$80,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,810.13 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,599.93 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 51c | 60,700$31,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,044.43 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 52c | 60,264$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,199.74 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 56,652$27,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,459.17 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 52c | 55,555$28,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,888.59 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 48c | 46,321$22,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,086.92 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 39,841$19,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,547.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 34,456$19,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,435.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 64c | 34,024$21,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,394.25 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 55c | 29,860$16,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,443.41 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 51c | 29,107$14,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,906.34 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 48c | 26,000$12,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,619.95 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8f…56e5backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…e126backed Yes | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 48c | 19,920$9,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,348.61 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 6c | 15,924$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 49c | 13,371$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,515.61 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 49c | 12,422$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.05 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 49c | 12,059$5,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150.29 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 12,000$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.93 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 52c | 11,258$5,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,854.24 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 10,968$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.33 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 39c | 9,724$3,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,797.08 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 51c | 9,688$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940.89 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed No | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 31c | 8,337$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.58 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed No | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 7,226$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.08 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…a109backed No | 51c | 6,943$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.14 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 62c | 6,549$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.44 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 52c | 6,346$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 48c | 5,614$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.5 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 47c | 5,490$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.58 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 62c | 5,011$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.22 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…2983backed Yes | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed No | 63c | 4,745$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.55 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes | 53c | 3,807$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.51 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…bf1ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.99 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 48c | 3,030$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 2,916$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.32 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 19c | 2,914$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.11 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 65c | 2,827$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.3 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 55c | 2,654$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.76 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 48c | 2,595$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.6 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 49c | 2,406$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.99 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 48c | 2,295$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.39 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…7e85backed No | 49c | 2,232$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 49c | 2,100$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.97 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 52c | 1,918$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.83 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 48c | 1,894$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.44 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…ea7abacked Yes | 52c | 1,827$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 49c | 1,800$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.67 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 52c | 1,621$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.99 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 48c | 1,472$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.44 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 51c | 1,366$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.9 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Yes | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 49c | 1,320$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.62 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 62c | 1,315$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.79 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 53c | 1,231$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.59 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,226$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.23 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked No | 48c | 1,213$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.77 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…6f00backed Yes | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 50c | 1,125$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.94 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,120$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.35 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 45c | 1,081$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.46 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,053$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.54 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Yes | 36c | 1,001$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.3 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 48c | 999.18$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.58 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…6babbacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked No | 51c | 927.31$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 47c | 896.9$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.36 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 52c | 894$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.88 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 873$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.48 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked No | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 49c | 800.18$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.3 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany leading at halftime?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?Yes won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.