Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94592ff1445b4051263276c55c5d2efbba8736664d38fc5f693262330fd29872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 26,874$16,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,596.65 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 32c | 7,276$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.5 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 5,545$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 31c | 3,759$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.24 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 37c | 2,995$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.86 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 42c | 2,359$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.61 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 65c | 2,182$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.4 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 54c | 2,085$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.28 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 2,063$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.21 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…f009backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.97 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 26c | 1,943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 1,921$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.92 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…5453backed Yes | 30c | 1,913$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 1,760$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.64 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 1,718$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.66 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked No | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…18babacked Yes | 14c | 1,412$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 1,375$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 1,278$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.75 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 35c | 1,140$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,118$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.95 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 36c | 999.94$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 30c | 986.74$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.97 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 936.41$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 22c | 892.05$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 64c | 806.43$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.56 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 64c | 755.1$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…6129backed Yes | 30c | 709.78$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 61c | 691.76$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 690.66$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.47 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 60c | 656.83$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.52 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 622.65$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.16 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 65c | 577.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 65c | 555$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.85 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 22c | 538$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 19c | 531.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 516.73$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed Yes | 50c | 482.26$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 63c | 419.97$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 61c | 416$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 14c | 400$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 63c | 394.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 389.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 372$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…605abacked Yes | 37c | 343.54$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 35c | 323.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 74c | 319.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 45c | 284.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…1857backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Yes | 37c | 265.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 37c | 264.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 64c | 264.43$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…1c29backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…8c74backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 42c | 230$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…66aebacked No | 65c | 222.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 50c | 208.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 36c | 191.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 38c | 182.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…4809backed Yes | 42c | 179.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 175.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…116dbacked Yes | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa16…4283backed Yes | 18c | 165.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…2cbfbacked Yes | 28c | 164.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 63c | 153.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 61c | 148$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 13c | 143$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 36c | 142.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 35c | 141.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 41c | 140.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…5c85backed Yes | 36c | 128.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Yes | 36c | 128.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 19c | 123.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 35c | 117.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 35c | 115.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 21c | 114.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…6b9abacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 38c | 103$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 15c | 101.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 65c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?Yes won
- Germany leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.