Tennis · resolved market
Brasov: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Franco Roncadelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca9bbe160ca26d099a82a9f0ba6d1e4f2da513609f7a56af8c6925fcc5adca91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franco Roncadelliof Alvaro Guillen Meza, Franco Roncadelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 30c | 3,833$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.18 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 50c | 2,000$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Franco Roncadelli | 53c | 1,976$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.79 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Franco Roncadelli | 50c | 1,767$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.62 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Franco Roncadelli | 33c | 1,338$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.14 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 51c | 1,011$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.28 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Franco Roncadelli | 47c | 924.06$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.82 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 16c | 576.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 31c | 545.15$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 62c | 506.49$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.93 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Franco Roncadelli | 53c | 500$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.11 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Franco Roncadelli | 53c | 440.03$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Franco Roncadelli | 49c | 314.75$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 79c | 245.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 44c | 211.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 32c | 201.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Franco Roncadelli | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 21c | 155.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 49c | 142.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 36c | 139.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Franco Roncadelli | 49c | 136.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 40c | 134$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 49c | 112.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Franco Roncadelli | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 47c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Franco Roncadelli | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Franco Roncadelli | 62c | 86.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 37c | 86.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Franco Roncadelli | 46c | 76.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Franco Roncadelli | 77c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 38c | 72.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…18a2backed Franco Roncadelli | 44c | 68.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 65.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Franco Roncadelli | 73c | 65.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 52c | 61.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Franco Roncadelli | 42c | 61.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Franco Roncadelli | 56c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 40c | 48.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Franco Roncadelli | 72c | 47.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Franco Roncadelli | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 39c | 43.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…14c0backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 36c | 41.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 33c | 35.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 56c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 36c | 32.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 36c | 29.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…bd3bbacked Franco Roncadelli | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 27.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…9b0ebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 46c | 25.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Franco Roncadelli | 48c | 25.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Franco Roncadelli | 57c | 24.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…5d6dbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 43c | 24.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 52c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Franco Roncadelli | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Franco Roncadelli | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Franco Roncadelli | 59c | 18.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Franco Roncadelli | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.